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Pocos de Caldas vs Itabirito

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2022 game between Pocos de Caldas and Itabirito finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabirito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pocos de Caldas
30%
Draws
34%
Itabirito
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pocos de Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Pocos de Caldas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Pocos de Caldas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 20%
Itabirito Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocos de Caldas Itabirito
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2022 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Itabirito
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocos de Caldas 36 / 100
Itabirito 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocos de Caldas Itabirito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Itabirito lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Pocos de Caldas's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Itabirito
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Esporte Clube751112:516
2Valeriodoce751111:516
3America TO742111:614
4Novo Esporte741213:813
5Boston City723211:89
6Contagem72238:78
7Juventus Minasnovense71068:143
8Ideal FC70070:210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itabirito760112:118
2Villa Real74127:413
3Santarritense73318:412
4Tres Coracoes731312:1310
5Passos72325:59
6Figueirense Esporte Clube71426:107
7Betis71335:86
8Pocos de Caldas70162:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araxa75207:217
2Coimbra Esporte Clube741213:813
3Nacional Uberaba740311:812
4Mamore733112:812
5Inter de Minas72237:88
6Serranense71338:106
7Paracatu71337:126
8Sao Gotardo70254:132