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Pocos de Caldas vs Villa Real

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2022 game between Pocos de Caldas and Villa Real finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villa Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Pocos de Caldas
22%
Draws
18%
Villa Real
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Pocos de Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Pocos de Caldas haven't matched Villa Real's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pocos de Caldas a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 10%
Villa Real Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pocos de Caldas Villa Real
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2024 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Pocos de Caldas
2:0
Sep 18, 2024 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Villa Real
0:4
Oct 15, 2023 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Pocos de Caldas
0:0
Sep 10, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Villa Real
1:0
Sep 17, 2022 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Villa Real
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pocos de Caldas 56 / 100
Villa Real 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pocos de Caldas Villa Real

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Pocos de Caldas scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Villa Real has conceded goals in 50% of their last 26 outings.

Pocos de Caldas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pocos de Caldas VS Villa Real
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Esporte Clube751112:516
2Valeriodoce751111:516
3America TO742111:614
4Novo Esporte741213:813
5Boston City723211:89
6Contagem72238:78
7Juventus Minasnovense71068:143
8Ideal FC70070:210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itabirito760112:118
2Villa Real74127:413
3Santarritense73318:412
4Tres Coracoes731312:1310
5Passos72325:59
6Figueirense Esporte Clube71426:107
7Betis71335:86
8Pocos de Caldas70162:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araxa75207:217
2Coimbra Esporte Clube741213:813
3Nacional Uberaba740311:812
4Mamore733112:812
5Inter de Minas72237:88
6Serranense71338:106
7Paracatu71337:126
8Sao Gotardo70254:132