Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Mineiro 3 2022 game between Pocos de Caldas and Villa Real finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villa Real.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villa Real
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Pocos de Caldas haven't matched Villa Real's recent run of results.
- Model gives Pocos de Caldas a 29% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 10%
Villa Real Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pocos de Caldas | Villa Real |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 26 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2024 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Pocos de Caldas
2:0
Sep 18, 2024 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Villa Real
0:4
Oct 15, 2023 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Pocos de Caldas
0:0
Sep 10, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Villa Real
1:0
Sep 17, 2022 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Villa Real
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pocos de Caldas 56 / 100
Villa Real 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pocos de Caldas Villa Real
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pocos de Caldas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Pocos de Caldas scored in 50% of their last 32 games.
Villa Real has conceded goals in 50% of their last 26 outings.
Pocos de Caldas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Pocos de Caldas VS Villa Real
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Pocos de Caldas
(Home) 19 Oct
Tupynambas
3 : 2 Pocos de Caldas
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0 Tres Coracoes
08 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
1 : 1 Inter de Minas
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0 Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 2 Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 7
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0 Tres Coracoes
08 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
1 : 1 Inter de Minas
29 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 2 Guarani-MG
18 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 4 Villa Real
01 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
1 : 2 Tupynambas
Page 1 of 4
Villa Real
(Away) 19 Oct
Villa Real
1 : 1 Inter de Minas
14 Oct
Guarani-MG
4 : 0 Villa Real
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3 Villa Real
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0 Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Tupynambas
6 : 0 Villa Real
Page 1 of 6
14 Oct
Guarani-MG
4 : 0 Villa Real
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3 Villa Real
29 Sept
Tupynambas
6 : 0 Villa Real
18 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 4 Villa Real
31 Aug
Inter de Minas
3 : 2 Villa Real
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Esporte Clube | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Valeriodoce | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 3 | America TO | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 14 |
| 4 | Novo Esporte | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 5 | Boston City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 6 | Contagem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 7 | Juventus Minasnovense | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8:14 | 3 |
| 8 | Ideal FC | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0:21 | 0 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itabirito | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12:1 | 18 |
| 2 | Villa Real | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Santarritense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 4 | Tres Coracoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 5 | Passos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Figueirense Esporte Clube | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 7 | Betis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 8 | Pocos de Caldas | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:12 | 1 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Araxa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 17 |
| 2 | Coimbra Esporte Clube | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Nacional Uberaba | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Mamore | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 12 |
| 5 | Inter de Minas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 6 | Serranense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 7 | Paracatu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 8 | Sao Gotardo | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:13 | 2 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)
