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Podbeskidzie vs Lechia Gdansk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej, Bielsko-Biała
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Kasperkiewicz A.
35' Event
Bambecki I.
42' Event
Klisiewicz L.
Assist: Pietraszkiewicz D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Podbeskidzie and Lechia Gdansk finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Podbeskidzie
30%
Draws
47%
Lechia Gdansk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lechia Gdansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Podbeskidzie carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lechia Gdansk's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Podbeskidzie Clean Sheet 10%
Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Podbeskidzie Lechia Gdansk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 11 4
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 1
Podbeskidzie vs Lechia Gdansk
2:2
Mar 10, 2024 Division 1
Podbeskidzie vs Lechia Gdansk
1:2
Aug 25, 2023 Division 1
Lechia Gdansk vs Podbeskidzie
3:0
Mar 6, 2021 Ekstraklasa
Podbeskidzie vs Lechia Gdansk
2:2
Sep 26, 2020 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Podbeskidzie
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Podbeskidzie Compare

Top Goalscorer Klisiewicz L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Lechia Gdansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Bambecki I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wojtowicz T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Podbeskidzie 10 / 100
Lechia Gdansk 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Podbeskidzie Lechia Gdansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lechia Gdansk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Podbeskidzie scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Lechia Gdansk conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Podbeskidzie went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Podbeskidzie VS Lechia Gdansk
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Podbeskidzie

(Home)
09 Oct
Podbeskidzie
1 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
02 Oct
Podbeskidzie
0 : 3
Trinec
20 Sept
Podbeskidzie
1 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
12 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 3
Podbeskidzie
06 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0
Podbeskidzie
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Lechia Gdansk

(Away)
03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3
Lechia Gdansk
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1
Legnica
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1
Lechia Gdansk
01 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 2
Lechia Gdansk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 10 6 3 1 19:8 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 10 5 2 3 17:13 17
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Warta Poznan 10 5 0 5 18:15 15
6 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Chrobry Glogow 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Stal Mielec 10 3 3 4 16:24 12
13 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
14 Arka Gdynia 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
15 Unia Skierniewice 10 3 2 5 12:17 11
16 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
17 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)