Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sandomierz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Antkowiak H.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023 game between Podhale Nowy Targ and Sandomierz finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Podhale Nowy Targ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Podhale Nowy Targ
15%
Draws
21%
Sandomierz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Podhale Nowy Targ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Podhale Nowy Targ carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Podhale Nowy Targ taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Podhale Nowy Targ have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Podhale Nowy Targ Clean Sheet 20%
Sandomierz Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Podhale Nowy Targ Sandomierz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.9 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sandomierz
1:0
Aug 21, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs Podhale Nowy Targ
1:4
Apr 10, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs Podhale Nowy Targ
0:1
Sep 4, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sandomierz
5:2
Mar 28, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sandomierz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Podhale Nowy Targ Compare

Top Goalscorer Antkowiak H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Sandomierz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Podhale Nowy Targ 85 / 100
Sandomierz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Podhale Nowy Targ Sandomierz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Podhale Nowy Targ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sandomierz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Podhale Nowy Targ found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Podhale Nowy Targ went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Podhale Nowy Targ VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Podhale Nowy Targ

(Home)
19 Sept
Legia II
3 : 0
Podhale Nowy Targ
12 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
5 : 0
Stal Stalowa Wola
05 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
2 : 1
Sandecja Nowy S.
01 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
3 : 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
29 Aug
Ol. Grudziadz
1 : 3
Podhale Nowy Targ
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Sandomierz

(Away)
10 Feb
Lysica Bodzentyn
8 : 2
Sandomierz
17 Jun
Sandomierz
0 : 4
Avia Swidnik
10 Jun
Stal Stalowa Wola
7 : 0
Sandomierz
04 Jun
Sandomierz
5 : 3
Korona Kielce II
27 May
Orleta Radzyn
0 : 0
Sandomierz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stal Stalowa Wola 34 23 5 6 72:27 74
2 Avia Swidnik 34 19 11 4 58:26 68
3 KS Wieczysta Krakow 34 20 7 7 75:35 67
4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 34 17 7 10 61:36 58
5 Biala Podlaska 34 14 13 7 63:42 55
6 Cracovia II 34 16 6 12 69:48 54
7 Wisloka Debica 34 15 7 12 54:46 52
8 Sokol Sieniawa 34 14 6 14 57:65 48
9 Czarni Polaniec 34 15 2 17 47:58 47
10 Podhale Nowy Targ 34 13 6 15 59:47 45
11 Orleta Radzyn 34 13 4 17 44:63 43
12 Chelmianka Chelm 34 10 10 14 45:47 40
13 Unia Tarnow 34 10 10 14 43:66 40
14 Wiazownica 34 11 7 16 49:59 40
15 Korona Kielce II 34 10 9 15 63:58 39
16 Sandomierz 34 7 6 21 40:91 27
17 Lublinianka 34 7 2 25 43:92 23
18 LKS Lagow 34 11 4 19 27:63 37
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)