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Podlesianka Katowice vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Podlesianka Katowice play Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory in the Club Friendly 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Podlesianka Katowice averaged 1.59 goals scored and 2.34 conceded. Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Podlesianka Katowice won 1, Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 17, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Podlesianka Katowice and 1.31 for Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory. This points to a Podlesianka Katowice double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Podlesianka Katowice
19%
Draws
37%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Podlesianka Katowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Podlesianka Katowice picked up more points recently compared to Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Podlesianka Katowice Clean Sheet 18%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Podlesianka Katowice Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.59 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Podlesianka Katowice vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
2:1
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs Podlesianka Katowice
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Podlesianka Katowice 43 / 100
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Podlesianka Katowice Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Podlesianka Katowice or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Podlesianka Katowice attacking → ← attacking Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Podlesianka Katowice scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Podlesianka Katowice went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 25
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00