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Podravac Virje vs NK Koprivnica

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Podravac Virje play NK Koprivnica in the 3. HNL North. It looks like a close match. Recently, Podravac Virje averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. NK Koprivnica averaged 1.31 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. In past meetings, Podravac Virje won 0, NK Koprivnica won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 30, 2022 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.65 for Podravac Virje and 1.83 for NK Koprivnica. This points to a NK Koprivnica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Podravac Virje
35%
Draws
34%
NK Koprivnica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: NK Koprivnica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Podravac Virje picked up more points recently compared to NK Koprivnica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.65 vs 1.83 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Podravac Virje Clean Sheet 11%
NK Koprivnica Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Podravac Virje NK Koprivnica
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.29 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 3. HNL North
Podravac Virje vs NK Koprivnica
1:1
Apr 9, 2022 3. HNL North
Podravac Virje vs NK Koprivnica
0:1
Oct 23, 2021 3. HNL North
NK Koprivnica vs Podravac Virje
2:2
Nov 3, 2002 Prva NL
NK Koprivnica vs Podravac Virje
1:0
Aug 24, 2002 Prva NL
Podravac Virje vs NK Koprivnica
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Podravac Virje 30 / 100
NK Koprivnica 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Podravac Virje NK Koprivnica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: NK Koprivnica or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Podravac Virje attacking → ← attacking NK Koprivnica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Podravac Virje scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

NK Koprivnica let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Podravac Virje went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

NK Koprivnica lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 33
1.43 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.29 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88