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Podravina Ludbreg vs Bjelovar

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Podravina Ludbreg play Bjelovar in the 3. HNL North. It looks like a close match. Recently, Podravina Ludbreg averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Bjelovar averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Podravina Ludbreg won 1, Bjelovar won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 23, 2022 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Podravina Ludbreg and 1.61 for Bjelovar. This points to a Bjelovar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Podravina Ludbreg
20%
Draws
45%
Bjelovar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bjelovar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Podravina Ludbreg picked up more points recently compared to Bjelovar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Podravina Ludbreg Clean Sheet 14%
Bjelovar Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Podravina Ludbreg Bjelovar
Matches Played 30 45
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.5 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 3. HNL North
Bjelovar vs Podravina Ludbreg
4:2
Mar 19, 2022 3. HNL North
Podravina Ludbreg vs Bjelovar
2:2
Oct 2, 2021 3. HNL North
Bjelovar vs Podravina Ludbreg
5:0
Aug 25, 2021 Croatian Cup
Podravina Ludbreg vs Bjelovar
0:1
Apr 28, 2021 3. HNL North
Bjelovar vs Podravina Ludbreg
3:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Podravina Ludbreg 34 / 100
Bjelovar 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Podravina Ludbreg Bjelovar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bjelovar or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Podravina Ludbreg attacking → ← attacking Bjelovar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Podravina Ludbreg scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Bjelovar let in goals in 69% of their last 45 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Podravina Ludbreg went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Bjelovar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 62
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1NK Polet22170561:1751
2Mladost Zdralovi22155245:1550
3Bjelovar22143553:2645
4Radnik Krizevci22142657:2544
5Medjimurje22123740:3339
6Podravina Ludbreg2287735:4131
7Papuk Orahovica22741132:4325
8Varteks Varazdin (2011)22641220:3922
9NK Koprivnica22381124:4317
10Virovitica22521525:5217
11Podravac Virje22441423:5016
12Rudar Mursko Sredisce22441425:5616