Sport Picks

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Podvinci vs Ljutomer

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East
Tue, Sep 29, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Podvinci host Ljutomer in the 3. SNL - East. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Podvinci at 1.03 goals for, 1.67 against; Ljutomer at 1.6 for, 1.87 against. Past meetings favor Podvinci slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 2.25) point toward Podvinci. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Podvinci
20%
Draws
29%
Ljutomer
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Podvinci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ljutomer at 1.6 per game, Podvinci at 1.03.
  • Podvinci are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Podvinci Clean Sheet 10%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Podvinci Ljutomer
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Podvinci
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 3. SNL - East
Podvinci vs Ljutomer
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 3. SNL - East
Podvinci vs Ljutomer
0:0
Aug 24, 2024 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Podvinci
2:4
Apr 6, 2024 3. SNL - East
Podvinci vs Ljutomer
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Podvinci 34 / 100
Ljutomer 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Podvinci Ljutomer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljutomer has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Podvinci found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Podvinci has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Podvinci VS Ljutomer
2 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Podvinci

(Home)
26 Sept
Podvinci
0 : 1
Race
19 Sept
NK Smartno
8 : 1
Podvinci
12 Sept
Podvinci
2 : 0
Korotan Prevalje
05 Sept
NK Ormoz
0 : 2
Podvinci
30 Aug
Podvinci
4 : 1
Hajdina
Page 1 of 6

Ljutomer

(Away)
26 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 2
NK Smartno
19 Sept
Korotan Prevalje
1 : 1
Ljutomer
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Odranci 6 5 1 0 19:10 16
2 Fuzinar 7 5 0 2 23:16 15
3 NK Ormoz 7 4 1 2 17:11 13
4 NK Smartno 7 4 1 2 18:14 13
5 Korotan Prevalje 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
6 Podvinci 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
7 Hajdina 7 2 3 2 13:15 9
8 NK Carda Martjanci 6 2 2 2 16:12 8
9 Ljutomer 7 2 2 3 11:10 8
10 SD Videm 7 2 2 3 13:17 8
11 Race 7 1 3 3 7:9 6
12 Dobrovce 6 2 0 4 8:16 6
13 Sampion Celje 6 1 1 4 10:13 4
14 Limbus-Pekre 7 1 1 5 6:17 4
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)