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Podvinci vs Radomlje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Slovenian Cup
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Slovenian Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Radomlje have shipped 2.04 goals a game lately, while Podvinci have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.1. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.50) point toward Podvinci. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Podvinci
30%
Draws
23%
Radomlje
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Podvinci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Podvinci carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Podvinci have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Podvinci Clean Sheet 16%
Radomlje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Podvinci Radomlje
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.1 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Podvinci 36 / 100
Radomlje 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Podvinci Radomlje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Radomlje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Radomlje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 26 matches.

Attacking prowess: Podvinci scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Radomlje registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Solid form: Podvinci remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Podvinci VS Radomlje
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Podvinci

(Home)
10 Oct
Podvinci
0 : 2
SD Videm
04 Oct
NK Carda Martjanci
2 : 2
Podvinci
29 Sept
Podvinci
2 : 1
Ljutomer
26 Sept
Podvinci
0 : 1
Race
19 Sept
NK Smartno
8 : 1
Podvinci
Page 1 of 6

Radomlje

(Away)
10 Oct
Radomlje
3 : 3
Koper
20 Sept
Grosuplje
2 : 1
Radomlje
13 Sept
Radomlje
0 : 3
Maribor
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
29 Aug
Radomlje
0 : 0
O. Ljubljana
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
NK Brezice -
Aluminij -
Grad -
Tolmin -
Triglav -
Nafta -
SD Videm -
Grosuplje -
Tabor Sezana -
Koper -
NK Velesovo -
Bravo -
Fuzinar -
NK Carda Martjanci -
Marjeta na Dravskem polju -
Odranci -
NK Ormoz -
Race -
Turnisce -
Dob -
Podvinci -
Radomlje -
Bistrica -
Bilje -
Tromejnik Montpreis -
Beltinci -
Litija -
Ljubljana Svoboda -
Korotan Prevalje -
Celje -
Sencur -
Krsko Posavje -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -