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Poggibonsi vs Tau

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi Logo

Poggibonsi

0 - 0
FT
Tau Logo

Tau

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Poggibonsi and Tau finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Poggibonsi
40%
Draws
29%
Tau
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Tau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Poggibonsi Clean Sheet 19%
Tau Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poggibonsi Tau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs Tau
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs Poggibonsi
2:1
Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs Tau
1:3
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs Poggibonsi
2:2
Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs Poggibonsi
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poggibonsi 32 / 100
Tau 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poggibonsi Tau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poggibonsi found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Tau has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Poggibonsi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Poggibonsi VS Tau
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Poggibonsi

(Home)
10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0
Poggibonsi
03 May
Poggibonsi
1 : 0
Scandicci
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0
Tau
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1
Poggibonsi
Page 1 of 6

Tau

(Away)
05 Aug
Grosseto
2 : 2
Tau
10 May
Tau
0 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
03 May
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 2
Tau
26 Apr
Tau
3 : 2
Terranuova Traiana
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0
Tau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)