Sport Picks
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Concordia Elblag
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 
Match Events
6'
6'
Sommerfeld K.
10'
10'
Dias M.
15'
15'
Sommerfeld K.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 game between Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and Concordia Elblag finished 15-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Concordia Elblag carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
Concordia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | Concordia Elblag |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 2.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 3.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.63 | 3.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Concordia Elblag
15:0
Oct 21, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Concordia Elblag vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0:4
Apr 1, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Concordia Elblag
0:1
Aug 28, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Concordia Elblag vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:2
Mar 27, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Concordia Elblag vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Odolak K.
7 Goals Assists Leader Sommerfeld K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Concordia Elblag Compare
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 83 / 100
Concordia Elblag 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Concordia Elblag
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Concordia Elblag conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.
Solid form: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki VS Concordia Elblag
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
(Home) 25 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 3 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
18 Jul
Legia
2 : 1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
17 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
07 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 1 Trencin
Page 1 of 7
17 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
07 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 1 Trencin
17 May
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 0 Tychy
02 May
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 4 KS Wieczysta Krakow
Page 1 of 3
Concordia Elblag
(Away) 18 Jul
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Concordia Elblag
11 Jul
Concordia Elblag
5 : 2 GKS Wikielec
08 Feb
Concordia Elblag
1 : 2 Grom Nowy Staw
25 Sept
Concordia Elblag
0 : 2 Zielona Gora
20 Jul
B. Gdynia
1 : 1 Concordia Elblag
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Concordia Elblag
20 Jul
B. Gdynia
1 : 1 Concordia Elblag
08 Jun
GKS Wikielec
7 : 0 Concordia Elblag
25 May
Victoria Sulejowek
1 : 0 Concordia Elblag
15 May
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
15 : 0 Concordia Elblag
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 106:32 | 76 |
| 2 | Unia Skierniewice | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:46 | 65 |
| 3 | Legia II | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:40 | 65 |
| 4 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 70:52 | 56 |
| 5 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:49 | 56 |
| 6 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 66:54 | 53 |
| 7 | Pelikan | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 52:40 | 52 |
| 8 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 52:51 | 48 |
| 9 | Bron Radom | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 39:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 43:48 | 44 |
| 11 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:46 | 43 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:50 | 42 |
| 13 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48:58 | 42 |
| 14 | Victoria Sulejowek | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41:48 | 41 |
| 15 | Olimpia Zambrow | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52:48 | 40 |
| 16 | Concordia Elblag | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 37:98 | 30 |
| 17 | Legionowo | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 41:71 | 27 |
| 18 | Pilica Bialobrzegi | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 30:89 | 19 |
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Main)
