Sport Picks

Poland

Polish Cup 2025/2026 Stadion MZOS Znicz, Pruszków

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

0 - 1

Lechia Gdansk

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Zhelizko I. In: Kapic R.

Out: Zhelizko I.

46'

Sub

Staniszewski J. In: Noiszewski K.

Out: Staniszewski J.

46'

Sub

Lis J. In: Adamski R.

Out: Lis J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Lechia Gdansk advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Draws

Lechia Gdansk

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki haven't matched Lechia Gdansk's recent run of results.
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Lechia Gdansk arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Lechia Gdansk, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 20%

Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	Lechia Gdansk
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	4	10
Draws	11	6
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	1	1
Goals Conceded	1.38	3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 1

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

0:3

Sep 24, 2025 Polish Cup

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Lechia Gdansk

0:1

Sep 24, 2024 Polish Cup

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Lechia Gdansk

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Lechia Gdansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Cirkovic A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 85 / 100

Lechia Gdansk 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Lechia Gdansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lechia Gdansk let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki VS Lechia Gdansk

1 Goals Scored 1

1.38 Goals Conceded 3

63% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

(Home)

25 Jul

Lechia Gdansk

0 : 3

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

18 Jul

Legia

2 : 1

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

17 Jul

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

0 : 2

Suwalki

11 Jul

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

2 : 2

Pogon Siedlce

07 Jul

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

1 : 1

Trencin

Page 1 of 6

Lechia Gdansk

(Away)

25 Jul

Lechia Gdansk

0 : 3

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

18 Jul

Lechia Gdansk

2 : 2

Randers FC

04 Jul

Lechia Gdansk

1 : 3

Ol. Grudziadz

27 Jun

Lechia Gdansk

0 : 5

Petrolul

23 May

Termalica Bruk-Bet

3 : 2

Lechia Gdansk

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Zawisza-

TBD-

Tychy-

GKS Wikielec-

TBD-

Podbeskidzie2

R. Rzeszow1

Siarka Tarnobrzeg-

TBD-

Hutnik Krakow3

Zaglebie Sosnowiec0

Bytom Odrzanski-

TBD-

Wisla-

Beskid Andrychow-

TBD-

Chojniczanka2

Rekord Bielsko-Biala1

Legnica II-

TBD-

Swit Szczecin2

LKS Lodz II1

Malapanew Ozimek-

TBD-

Pruszkow-

S. Rzeszow-

TBD-

Korona Kielce-

LKS Lomza-

TBD-

Odra Opole-

Korona Kielce II-

TBD-

Piast Gliwice-

Gryf Slupsk-

TBD-

Polonia Warszawa-

TBD-

Lech Poznan-

Stal Mielec-

TBD-

Puszcza-

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3

Wisla Pulawy0

TBD-

Lechia Gdansk-

Arka Gdynia-

TBD-

Motor Lublin-

Legia II-

TBD-

Gornik Zabrze-

Avia Swidnik-

TBD-

Ruch Chorzow-

Swinoujscie-

TBD-

KKS Kalisz0

GKS Jastrzebie2

Goczalkowice Zdroj II-

TBD-

Stal Stalowa Wola3

Skra Czestochowa1

Warta Poznan1

Olimpia Elblag0

Polonia Bytom7

Zaglebie II1

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol-

TBD-

KS Wieczysta Krakow0

Ol. Grudziadz1

Tomaszow Mazowiecki-

TBD-

Slask Wroclaw-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Leczna-

TBD-

Cracovia-

LKS Lodz-

TBD-

Chrobry Glogow-

GKS Katowice-

TBD-

Wisla Plock-

Legnica-

TBD-

Pogon Siedlce-

TBD-

Jagiellonia-

Legia-

TBD-

Kotwica Kolobrzeg-

TBD-

Pogon Szczecin-

Termalica Bruk-Bet-

TBD-

Widzew Lodz-

Radomiak Radom-

TBD-

Zaglebie-

1/32-finals

Zawisza2

Tychy0

GKS Wikielec2

Podbeskidzie1

Siarka Tarnobrzeg0

Hutnik Krakow1

Bytom Odrzanski0

Wisla1

Beskid Andrychow0

Chojniczanka3

Legnica II1

Swit Szczecin3

Malapanew Ozimek1

Pruszkow2

S. Rzeszow0

Korona Kielce1

LKS Lomza0

Odra Opole2

Korona Kielce II0

Piast Gliwice1

Gryf Slupsk1

Polonia Warszawa0

TBD-

Lech Poznan-

Stal Mielec1

Puszcza2

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki0

Lechia Gdansk1

Arka Gdynia1

Motor Lublin0

Legia II0

Gornik Zabrze3

Avia Swidnik3

Ruch Chorzow1

Swinoujscie3

GKS Jastrzebie2

Goczalkowice Zdroj II3

Stal Stalowa Wola1

Warta Poznan0

Polonia Bytom1

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol1

Ol. Grudziadz3

Tomaszow Mazowiecki1

Slask Wroclaw2

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Leczna1

Cracovia5

LKS Lodz5

Chrobry Glogow3

GKS Katowice4

Wisla Plock2

Legnica2

Pogon Siedlce0

TBD-

Jagiellonia-

Legia-

TBD-

Kotwica Kolobrzeg0

Pogon Szczecin3

Termalica Bruk-Bet2

Widzew Lodz3

Radomiak Radom0

Zaglebie2

1/16-finals

Zawisza3

GKS Wikielec0

Hutnik Krakow0

Wisla1

Chojniczanka3

Swit Szczecin1

Pruszkow0

Korona Kielce3

Odra Opole0

Piast Gliwice2

Gryf Slupsk1

Lech Poznan2

Puszcza1

Lechia Gdansk3

Arka Gdynia1

Gornik Zabrze2

Avia Swidnik3

Swinoujscie0

Goczalkowice Zdroj II0

Polonia Bytom7

Ol. Grudziadz0

Slask Wroclaw1

Rakow Czestochowa3

Cracovia0

LKS Lodz1

GKS Katowice2

Legnica2

Jagiellonia3

Legia1

Pogon Szczecin2

Widzew Lodz1

Zaglebie0

1/8-finals

Zawisza4

Wisla1

Chojniczanka2

Korona Kielce1

Piast Gliwice0

Lech Poznan2

Lechia Gdansk1

Gornik Zabrze3

Avia Swidnik4

Polonia Bytom2

Slask Wroclaw1

Rakow Czestochowa2

GKS Katowice3

Jagiellonia1

Pogon Szczecin0

Widzew Lodz1

Quarter-finals

Zawisza2

Chojniczanka1

Lech Poznan0

Gornik Zabrze1

Avia Swidnik1

Rakow Czestochowa2

GKS Katowice2

Widzew Lodz1

Semi-finals

Zawisza0

Gornik Zabrze1

Rakow Czestochowa5

GKS Katowice4

Final

Gornik Zabrze2

Rakow Czestochowa0