Sport Picks
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Pogon Siedlce
Poland
Division 1 2025/2026 Stadion MZOS Znicz, Pruszków 
Match Events
15'
15'
Flis M.
36'
36'
Flis M.
Assist: Mis K.
38'
38'
Szczepaniak M.
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 2025/2026 game between Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and Pogon Siedlce finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon Siedlce.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pogon Siedlce come out ahead of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | Pogon Siedlce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 12 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Pogon Siedlce
2:2
Apr 19, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Pogon Siedlce
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:2
Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3:1
Feb 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Pogon Siedlce Compare
Top Goalscorer Flis M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 49 / 100
Pogon Siedlce 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Siedlce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Pogon Siedlce has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.
Recent resilience: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki VS Pogon Siedlce
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
(Home) 18 Jul
Legia
2 : 1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
17 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
07 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 1 Trencin
04 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
0 : 1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
07 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 1 Trencin
17 May
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 0 Tychy
02 May
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 4 KS Wieczysta Krakow
Page 1 of 3
Pogon Siedlce
(Away) 18 Jul
Radomiak Radom
1 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
04 Jul
Jagiellonia
4 : 1 Pogon Siedlce
27 Jun
Pogon Siedlce
0 : 3 Unia Skierniewice
24 May
Wisla
2 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Radomiak Radom
1 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
04 Jul
Jagiellonia
4 : 1 Pogon Siedlce
24 May
Wisla
2 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
02 May
LKS Lodz
4 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisla | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 72:32 | 71 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 69:47 | 62 |
| 3 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 70:47 | 57 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 48:36 | 55 |
| 5 | LKS Lodz | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 56:48 | 54 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 52:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Ruch Chorzow | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 54:46 | 53 |
| 8 | Legnica | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 52:53 | 52 |
| 9 | Puszcza | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 10 | Polonia Bytom | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 56:50 | 47 |
| 11 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 51:54 | 45 |
| 12 | Odra Opole | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:40 | 44 |
| 13 | S. Rzeszow | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 49:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Stal Mielec | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Pogon Siedlce | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 16 | Pruszkow | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 40:68 | 28 |
| 17 | Leczna | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 39:62 | 27 |
| 18 | Tychy | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 40:74 | 23 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Main)