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Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Puszcza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski, Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Dembek B.
25' Event
Niski N.
Assist: Jaron D.
28'
Kasolik K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and Puszcza finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
15%
Draws
21%
Puszcza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Puszcza come out ahead of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 68%
Puszcza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Puszcza
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Puszcza
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Puszcza
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Division 1
Puszcza vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Niski N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Puszcza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 59 / 100
Puszcza 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Puszcza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puszcza let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki VS Puszcza
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

(Home)
10 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 4
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
02 Oct
Radomiak Radom
7 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0
LKS Lodz
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0
Warta Poznan
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Puszcza

(Away)
11 Oct
Puszcza
0 : 1
Polonia Bytom
02 Oct
KS Wieczysta Krakow
4 : 3
Puszcza
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2
Puszcza
11 Sept
Puszcza
1 : 2
LKS Lodz
01 Sept
Plock II
0 : 2
Puszcza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 10 6 3 1 19:8 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 10 5 2 3 17:13 17
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Warta Poznan 10 5 0 5 18:15 15
6 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Chrobry Glogow 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Stal Mielec 10 3 3 4 16:24 12
13 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
14 Arka Gdynia 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
15 Unia Skierniewice 10 3 2 5 12:17 11
16 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
17 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)