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Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Puszcza

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski, Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki host Puszcza in the Division 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Puszcza's 1 scored and 1.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki have won 0 to Puszcza's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Dec 6, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.06, favoring Puszcza. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
30%
Draws
34%
Puszcza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Puszcza come out ahead of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 20%
Puszcza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Puszcza
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 13
Draws 11 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Puszcza
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Division 1
Puszcza vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 36 / 100
Puszcza 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Puszcza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puszcza let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki VS Puszcza
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

(Home)
25 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 3
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
18 Jul
Legia
2 : 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
17 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2
Pogon Siedlce
07 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 1
Trencin
Page 1 of 6

Puszcza

(Away)
26 Jul
Puszcza
0 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
23 Jul
Puszcza
2 : 1
Jaroslaw
19 Jul
Widzew Lodz
2 : 0
Puszcza
11 Jul
Stal Mielec
1 : 4
Puszcza
08 Jul
Puszcza
0 : 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chrobry Glogow11005:13
2Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki11003:03
3Termalica Bruk-Bet11002:03
4Polonia Bytom11004:33
5Stal Mielec11002:13
6Arka Gdynia11001:03
7Polonia Warszawa11001:03
8LKS Lodz10101:11
9Podbeskidzie10101:11
10Legnica10101:11
11Pogon Siedlce10101:11
12Warta Poznan10013:40
13Unia Skierniewice10011:20
14Odra Opole10010:10
15Puszcza10010:10
16Ruch Chorzow10010:20
17Lechia Gdansk10010:30
18S. Rzeszow10011:50
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)