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Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs S. Rzeszow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski, Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Our Tip

Match Events

65'
Sub
Jedrasik J. In: Zbrog J.
Out: Jedrasik J.
65'
Sub
Majewski R. In: Turski H.
Out: Majewski R.
66'
Sub
Jaron D. In: Oshafi A.
Out: Jaron D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
15%
Draws
50%
S. Rzeszow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: S. Rzeszow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki average 1.31 goals a game right now, well clear of S. Rzeszow's 1.3.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
S. Rzeszow Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki S. Rzeszow
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.76 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs S. Rzeszow
1:1
Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
S. Rzeszow vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:1
Dec 1, 2025 Division 1
S. Rzeszow vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs S. Rzeszow
2:1
Jul 27, 2022 Polish Cup
S. Rzeszow vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Oshafi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

S. Rzeszow Compare

Top Goalscorer Listkowski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 30 / 100
S. Rzeszow 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki S. Rzeszow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: S. Rzeszow conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki VS S. Rzeszow
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

(Home)
10 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 4
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
02 Oct
Radomiak Radom
7 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0
LKS Lodz
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0
Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 6

S. Rzeszow

(Away)
02 Oct
MFK Karvina
1 : 1
S. Rzeszow
19 Sept
Legnica
2 : 3
S. Rzeszow
13 Sept
Odra Opole
0 : 1
S. Rzeszow
05 Sept
S. Rzeszow
2 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
01 Sept
S. Rzeszow
3 : 0
Podbeskidzie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 10 6 3 1 19:8 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 10 5 2 3 17:13 17
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Warta Poznan 10 5 0 5 18:15 15
6 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Chrobry Glogow 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Stal Mielec 10 3 3 4 16:24 12
13 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
14 Arka Gdynia 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
15 Unia Skierniewice 10 3 2 5 12:17 11
16 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
17 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)