Sport Picks
Pogon Siedlce vs GKS Jastrzebie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Polish Cup Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Pogon Siedlce are expected to control this from the start. GKS Jastrzebie have shipped 2.69 goals a game lately, while Pogon Siedlce have conceded 1.46 and scored 1.08. Head-to-head, Pogon Siedlce have won 1 to GKS Jastrzebie's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 5, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.31, favoring Pogon Siedlce. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pogon Siedlce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Pogon Siedlce carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Pogon Siedlce's way, sitting at 90%.
- Pogon Siedlce have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor GKS Jastrzebie, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 18%
GKS Jastrzebie Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogon Siedlce | GKS Jastrzebie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.08 | 0.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 5, 2026 Polish Cup
Pogon Siedlce vs GKS Jastrzebie
3:0
May 13, 2024 Division 2
Pogon Siedlce vs GKS Jastrzebie
3:4
Oct 29, 2023 Division 2
GKS Jastrzebie vs Pogon Siedlce
2:1
Apr 1, 2023 Division 2
Pogon Siedlce vs GKS Jastrzebie
1:1
Aug 26, 2022 Division 2
GKS Jastrzebie vs Pogon Siedlce
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pogon Siedlce 85 / 100
GKS Jastrzebie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pogon Siedlce GKS Jastrzebie
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pogon Siedlce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: GKS Jastrzebie conceded in 100% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Away concern: GKS Jastrzebie has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Pogon Siedlce found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).
Scoring Trends
Pogon Siedlce VS GKS Jastrzebie
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Pogon Siedlce
(Home) 09 Oct
Podbeskidzie
1 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1 Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
01 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 3 Pogon Siedlce
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0 Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1 Arka Gdynia
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0 Stal Mielec
15 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
1 : 0 Polonia Warszawa
05 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
01 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
1 : 2 Termalica Bruk-Bet
Page 1 of 3
GKS Jastrzebie
(Away) 05 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
30 May
GKS Jastrzebie
0 : 3 Slask Wroclaw II
23 May
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
16 May
GKS Jastrzebie
0 : 3 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
09 May
Podbeskidzie
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
Page 1 of 6
05 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
23 May
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
09 May
Podbeskidzie
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
25 Apr
KKS Kalisz
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
10 Apr
R. Rzeszow
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Legnica -
TBD -
TBD -
Chrobry Glogow -
Widzew Lodz II -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Bytom -
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaglebie -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sokol Ostroda -
TBD -
Unia Skierniewice 2
Kleczew 3
Podhale Nowy Targ 2
Chojniczanka 0
TBD -
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki -
Avia Swidnik -
TBD -
TBD -
KS Wieczysta Krakow -
Korona Kielce II -
TBD -
TBD -
Radomiak Radom -
Warta Poznan 0
R. Rzeszow 1
TBD -
Arka Gdynia -
S. Rzeszow -
TBD -
Podbeskidzie 2
Hutnik Krakow 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
TBD -
Sandecja Nowy S. 3
Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0
Beskid Andrychow -
TBD -
Slask Wroclaw II 3
Stal Stalowa Wola 2
Motor Lublin -
TBD -
TBD -
Legia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Kluczbork -
TBD -
TBD -
Lechia Gdansk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Polkowice -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Warszawa -
Widzew Lodz -
TBD -
TBD -
Korona Kielce -
Plock II -
TBD -
TBD -
Puszcza -
Luzino -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla Plock -
Pruszkow 3
LKS Lodz II 1
TBD -
Cracovia -
Zielona Gora -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruch Chorzow -
Gornik Zabrze II -
TBD -
Ol. Grudziadz 5
Swit Szczecin 3
Suwalki -
TBD -
TBD -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
Chemik Bydgoszcz -
TBD -
TBD -
Piast Gliwice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla -
Slask Wroclaw -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Szczecin -
Leczna 2
KKS Kalisz 0
TBD -
Stal Mielec -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0
TBD -
LKS Lodz -
Kluczevia Stargard -
TBD -
Pogon Siedlce 3
GKS Jastrzebie 0
1/32-finals
Legnica 0
Chrobry Glogow 1
Widzew Lodz II 1
Polonia Bytom 2
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3
Zaglebie 2
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sokol Ostroda 1
Kleczew 2
Podhale Nowy Targ 3
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1
Avia Swidnik 3
KS Wieczysta Krakow 1
Korona Kielce II 0
Radomiak Radom 1
R. Rzeszow 0
Arka Gdynia 4
S. Rzeszow 3
Podbeskidzie 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 3
Sandecja Nowy S. 2
Beskid Andrychow 1
Slask Wroclaw II 3
Motor Lublin 3
Legia 0
TBD -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Kluczbork 1
Lechia Gdansk 2
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Polkowice 0
Polonia Warszawa 1
Widzew Lodz 0
Korona Kielce 1
Plock II 0
Puszcza 2
Luzino 2
Wisla Plock 3
Pruszkow 2
Cracovia 1
Zielona Gora 0
Ruch Chorzow 2
Gornik Zabrze II 3
Ol. Grudziadz 4
Suwalki 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet 5
Chemik Bydgoszcz 0
Piast Gliwice 3
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole 2
Wisla 1
Slask Wroclaw 2
Pogon Szczecin 1
Leczna 4
Stal Mielec 3
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy 1
LKS Lodz 0
Kluczevia Stargard 2
Pogon Siedlce 3
1/16-finals
Chrobry Glogow -
Polonia Bytom -
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
Lech Poznan -
Kleczew -
Podhale Nowy Targ -
Avia Swidnik -
Radomiak Radom -
Arka Gdynia -
S. Rzeszow -
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
Slask Wroclaw II -
Motor Lublin -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Lechia Gdansk -
Jagiellonia -
Polonia Warszawa -
Korona Kielce -
Puszcza -
Wisla Plock -
Pruszkow -
Ruch Chorzow -
Ol. Grudziadz -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
Piast Gliwice -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole -
Slask Wroclaw -
Leczna -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy -
Pogon Siedlce -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
