Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pogon Siedlce vs LKS Lodz

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Zielonka N.
Assist: Mis K.
47' Event
Blachewicz M.
Assist: Nowakowski K.
67'
Sub
Hinokio K. In: Podlinski K.
Out: Hinokio K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Pogon Siedlce and LKS Lodz finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pogon Siedlce
30%
Draws
23%
LKS Lodz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pogon Siedlce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • LKS Lodz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pogon Siedlce a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 20%
LKS Lodz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Siedlce LKS Lodz
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs LKS Lodz
1:1
May 2, 2026 Division 1
LKS Lodz vs Pogon Siedlce
4:0
Oct 25, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs LKS Lodz
3:1
Apr 6, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs LKS Lodz
1:1
Sep 13, 2024 Division 1
LKS Lodz vs Pogon Siedlce
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Siedlce Compare

Top Goalscorer Zielonka N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

LKS Lodz Compare

Top Goalscorer Blachewicz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Siedlce 40 / 100
LKS Lodz 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Siedlce LKS Lodz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogon Siedlce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Siedlce scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

LKS Lodz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Pogon Siedlce has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Siedlce VS LKS Lodz
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Siedlce

(Home)
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
01 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 3
Pogon Siedlce
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0
Stal Mielec
21 Aug
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
Page 1 of 6

LKS Lodz

(Away)
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0
LKS Lodz
11 Sept
Puszcza
1 : 2
LKS Lodz
06 Sept
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1
LKS Lodz
03 Sept
Tychy
1 : 0
LKS Lodz
28 Aug
Odra Opole
0 : 0
LKS Lodz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
14 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
15 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
16 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
17 Podbeskidzie 9 0 8 1 12:14 8
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)