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Pogon Siedlce vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Wiedlocha E.
53' Event
Strus D.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Pogon Siedlce
33%
Draws
40%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Pogon Siedlce at 0.88 per game, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki at 0.67.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 20%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Siedlce Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.88 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0:2
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Siedlce Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Wiedlocha E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Siedlce 28 / 100
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Siedlce Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pogon Siedlce scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki has conceded goals in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Pogon Siedlce has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Siedlce VS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0.88 Goals Scored 0.67
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Siedlce

(Home)
25 Jul
Pogon Siedlce
1 : 1
LKS Lodz
18 Jul
Radomiak Radom
1 : 2
Pogon Siedlce
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2
Pogon Siedlce
04 Jul
Jagiellonia
4 : 1
Pogon Siedlce
27 Jun
Pogon Siedlce
0 : 3
Unia Skierniewice
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Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

(Away)
24 Jul
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 1
Zabkovia Zabki
18 Jul
Star Starachowice
2 : 1
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
22 Feb
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
6 : 2
Marcovia Marki
22 Feb
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 3
Orleta Radzyn
15 Feb
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
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