Sport Picks
Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Division 1 Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce 
Match Events
16'
16'
Dzieciol E.
22'
22'
Szur P.
30'
30'
Szur P.
Assist: Szuprytowski D.
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 game between Pogon Siedlce and Stal Mielec finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon Siedlce.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
20%
7%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pogon Siedlce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Stal Mielec carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Pogon Siedlce's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 19%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogon Siedlce | Stal Mielec |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec
2:0
May 15, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 Division 1
Stal Mielec vs Pogon Siedlce
0:0
Sep 25, 2018 Polish Cup
Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec
2:1
Mar 17, 2018 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogon Siedlce Compare
Top Goalscorer Szur P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kobusinski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Stal Mielec Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pogon Siedlce 85 / 100
Stal Mielec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pogon Siedlce Stal Mielec
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pogon Siedlce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stal Mielec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.
Pogon Siedlce found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Pogon Siedlce has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Pogon Siedlce VS Stal Mielec
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Pogon Siedlce
(Home) 09 Oct
Podbeskidzie
1 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1 Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
01 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 3 Pogon Siedlce
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0 Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1 Arka Gdynia
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0 Stal Mielec
15 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
1 : 0 Polonia Warszawa
05 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
01 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
1 : 2 Termalica Bruk-Bet
Page 1 of 3
Stal Mielec
(Away) 19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1 Stal Mielec
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2 Termalica Bruk-Bet
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1 Odra Opole
02 Sept
Leczna
4 : 3 Stal Mielec
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0 Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1 Stal Mielec
02 Sept
Leczna
4 : 3 Stal Mielec
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0 Stal Mielec
23 Aug
LKS Lodz
4 : 0 Stal Mielec
26 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
1 : 2 Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 3 | Warta Poznan | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Chrobry Glogow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Pogon Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Unia Skierniewice | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 15 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 16 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Stal Mielec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
