Sport Picks
Pogon Siedlce vs Termalica Bruk-Bet - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Division 1 Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce 
Match Events
12'
12'
Szuprytowski D.
45'
45'
Szuprytowski D.
Assist: Zielonka N.
55'
55'
Sub
Jimenez J. In: Biniek D.
Out: Jimenez J.
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 game between Pogon Siedlce and Termalica Bruk-Bet finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Termalica Bruk-Bet.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
20%
45%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Termalica Bruk-Bet
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Termalica Bruk-Bet carry the better recent record into this one.
- Termalica Bruk-Bet are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Termalica Bruk-Bet have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 23%
Termalica Bruk-Bet Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogon Siedlce | Termalica Bruk-Bet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.08 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 Division 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Pogon Siedlce
1:1
Aug 11, 2024 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
1:2
May 30, 2015 Division 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Pogon Siedlce
2:0
Nov 9, 2014 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogon Siedlce Compare
Top Goalscorer Szuprytowski D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Termalica Bruk-Bet Compare
Top Goalscorer Boboc R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zapolnik K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pogon Siedlce 21 / 100
Termalica Bruk-Bet 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pogon Siedlce Termalica Bruk-Bet
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Termalica Bruk-Bet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Termalica Bruk-Bet has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Pogon Siedlce found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Pogon Siedlce went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pogon Siedlce VS Termalica Bruk-Bet
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pogon Siedlce
(Home) 09 Oct
Podbeskidzie
1 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1 Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
01 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 3 Pogon Siedlce
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0 Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1 Arka Gdynia
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0 Stal Mielec
15 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
1 : 0 Polonia Warszawa
05 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
3 : 0 GKS Jastrzebie
01 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
1 : 2 Termalica Bruk-Bet
Page 1 of 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet
(Away) 10 Oct
Unia Skierniewice
2 : 2 Termalica Bruk-Bet
03 Oct
Cracovia
2 : 3 Termalica Bruk-Bet
19 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
1 : 0 Odra Opole
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2 Termalica Bruk-Bet
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1 Lechia Gdansk
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Unia Skierniewice
2 : 2 Termalica Bruk-Bet
03 Oct
Cracovia
2 : 3 Termalica Bruk-Bet
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2 Termalica Bruk-Bet
01 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 5 Termalica Bruk-Bet
28 Aug
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Termalica Bruk-Bet
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Warta Poznan | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 6 | Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Pogon Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Chrobry Glogow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Stal Mielec | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:24 | 12 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 15 | Unia Skierniewice | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 16 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
