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Pogon Siedlce vs Unia Skierniewice

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pogon Siedlce play Unia Skierniewice in the Club Friendly. Unia Skierniewice are favorites here. Recently, Pogon Siedlce averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. Unia Skierniewice averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Pogon Siedlce won 0, Unia Skierniewice won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Pogon Siedlce and 1.88 for Unia Skierniewice. This points to a Unia Skierniewice double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Pogon Siedlce
17%
Draws
62%
Unia Skierniewice
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Unia Skierniewice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Pogon Siedlce picked up more points recently compared to Unia Skierniewice.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 10%
Unia Skierniewice Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Siedlce Unia Skierniewice
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 6 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.88 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs Unia Skierniewice
0:3
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Unia Skierniewice vs Pogon Siedlce
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Siedlce 21 / 100
Unia Skierniewice 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Siedlce Unia Skierniewice

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Skierniewice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Unia Skierniewice & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pogon Siedlce attacking → ← attacking Unia Skierniewice

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Siedlce scored in 58% of their last 26 games.

Unia Skierniewice let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Pogon Siedlce went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Unia Skierniewice lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 58
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13