Sport Picks
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Chelmianka Chelm - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
82'
82'
Kuzdra J.
AI Match Summary
Chelmianka Chelm in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelmianka Chelm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chelmianka Chelm
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chelmianka Chelm have won more games recently than Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow.
- Win probability leans Chelmianka Chelm's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 20%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | Chelmianka Chelm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 20 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Chelmianka Chelm
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Chelmianka Chelm
0:0
May 30, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3:4
Nov 9, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Chelmianka Chelm
1:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Chelmianka Chelm Compare
Top Goalscorer Kuzdra J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 24 / 100
Chelmianka Chelm 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Chelmianka Chelm
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelmianka Chelm Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Chelmianka Chelm has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow VS Chelmianka Chelm
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
(Home) 10 Oct
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
02 Oct
Wisloka Debica
2 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
26 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0 : 1 Kolbuszowa Dolna
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
26 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0 : 1 Kolbuszowa Dolna
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
29 Aug
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Aug
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1 : 1 Wisla II
Page 1 of 3
Chelmianka Chelm
(Away) 10 Oct
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Star Starachowice
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
05 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
23 Aug
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
15 Aug
Moravia Morawica
0 : 3 Chelmianka Chelm
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 27:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Busko-Zdroj | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:26 | 14 |
| 13 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Biala Podlaska | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
