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Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ploshchynskyi A.
26' Event
Gul M.
88' Event
Majda O.

AI Match Summary

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
6%
Draws
4%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow lately — more wins on the board than Sparta Kazimierza Wielka.
  • Model gives Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 68%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 7 1
Losses 10 27
Goals Scored 1.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
4:0
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare

Top Goalscorer Majda O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ploshchynskyi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 95 / 100
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sparta Kazimierza Wielka conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Solid form: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow VS Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013