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Stadium Background

Pogon Szczecin II vs Blekitni Stargard

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Fraczczak A.
74' Event
Fraczczak A.
78' Event
Fraczczak A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Pogon Szczecin II and Blekitni Stargard finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon Szczecin II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pogon Szczecin II
6%
Draws
4%
Blekitni Stargard
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pogon Szczecin II and Blekitni Stargard have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Win probability leans Pogon Szczecin II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pogon Szczecin II Clean Sheet 13%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin II Blekitni Stargard
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Blekitni Stargard
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Pogon Szczecin II
4:0
May 9, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Blekitni Stargard
6:1
Oct 12, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Pogon Szczecin II
2:1
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Blekitni Stargard vs Pogon Szczecin II
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin II Compare

Top Goalscorer Fraczczak A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Blekitni Stargard Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin II 84 / 100
Blekitni Stargard 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin II Blekitni Stargard

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Pogon Szczecin II stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Pogon Szczecin II scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Blekitni Stargard let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin II VS Blekitni Stargard
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415