Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pogon Szczecin II vs Cartusia Kartuzy

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Waligora N.
34' Event
Czaplinski J.
36' Event
Waligora N.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Pogon Szczecin II and Cartusia Kartuzy finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon Szczecin II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pogon Szczecin II
6%
Draws
4%
Cartusia Kartuzy
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pogon Szczecin II come out ahead of Cartusia Kartuzy on wins alone.
  • Pogon Szczecin II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pogon Szczecin II Clean Sheet 20%
Cartusia Kartuzy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin II Cartusia Kartuzy
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Cartusia Kartuzy
5:0
Aug 9, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Pogon Szczecin II
2:1
May 1, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Cartusia Kartuzy
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Pogon Szczecin II
0:0
Nov 26, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Cartusia Kartuzy
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin II Compare

Top Goalscorer Waligora N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Czaplinski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Cartusia Kartuzy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin II 85 / 100
Cartusia Kartuzy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin II Cartusia Kartuzy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartusia Kartuzy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pogon Szczecin II remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Pogon Szczecin II found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin II VS Cartusia Kartuzy
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Szczecin II

(Home)
30 May
Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
1 : 4
Pogon Szczecin II
24 May
Pogon Szczecin II
13 : 1
Wda Swiecie
17 May
Swinoujscie
1 : 2
Pogon Szczecin II
13 May
Pogon Szczecin II
4 : 0
Elana Torun
09 May
Pogon Szczecin II
2 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6

Cartusia Kartuzy

(Away)
30 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 2
Zawisza
22 May
Swinoujscie
0 : 0
Cartusia Kartuzy
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Luzino
3 : 0
Cartusia Kartuzy
09 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)