Sport Picks
Pogon Szczecin vs Legia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Ekstraklasa Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin 
Match Events
24'
24'
Borges L.
62'
62'
Sub
Lawa N. In: Agger M.
Out: Lawa N.
62'
62'
Sub
Juwara M. In: Ulvestad F.
Out: Juwara M.
AI Match Summary
The Ekstraklasa game between Pogon Szczecin and Legia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Legia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Pogon Szczecin haven't matched Legia's recent run of results.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Legia taking it.
- Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Legia have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 16%
Legia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Legia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 19 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Legia
0:1
Apr 6, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Legia
0:2
Oct 30, 2025 Polish Cup
Legia vs Pogon Szczecin
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Pogon Szczecin
1:0
May 2, 2025 Polish Cup
Pogon Szczecin vs Legia
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogon Szczecin Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Legia Compare
Top Goalscorer Arsenic Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pogon Szczecin 19 / 100
Legia 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pogon Szczecin Legia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Legia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogon Szczecin scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Legia conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Pogon Szczecin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pogon Szczecin VS Legia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pogon Szczecin
(Home) 26 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 Udinese
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2 Pogon Szczecin
13 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0 KS Wieczysta Krakow
07 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 Wisla Plock
03 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1 Pogon Szczecin
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 Udinese
13 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0 KS Wieczysta Krakow
07 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 Wisla Plock
23 Aug
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 2 Wisla
08 Aug
Pogon Szczecin
3 : 1 Motor Lublin
Page 1 of 3
Legia
(Away) 03 Oct
Legia
5 : 1 Korona Kielce
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4 Legia
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1 Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3 Legia
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4 Legia
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3 Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0 Legia
22 Aug
Piast Gliwice
1 : 1 Legia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 6 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 9 | GKS Katowice | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12:21 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
