Sport Picks
Pogon Szczecin vs Legia
Poland
Ekstraklasa Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin 
Match Events
24'
24'
Borges L.
62'
62'
Sub
Lawa N. In: Agger M.
Out: Lawa N.
62'
62'
Sub
Juwara M. In: Ulvestad F.
Out: Juwara M.
AI Match Summary
The Ekstraklasa game between Pogon Szczecin and Legia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Legia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Pogon Szczecin haven't matched Legia's recent run of results.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Legia taking it.
- Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Legia have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 10%
Legia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Legia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Legia
0:1
Apr 6, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Legia
0:2
Oct 30, 2025 Polish Cup
Legia vs Pogon Szczecin
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Pogon Szczecin
1:0
May 2, 2025 Polish Cup
Pogon Szczecin vs Legia
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogon Szczecin Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Legia Compare
Top Goalscorer Arsenic Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pogon Szczecin 18 / 100
Legia 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pogon Szczecin Legia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LEG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogon Szczecin scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Legia conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Pogon Szczecin went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pogon Szczecin VS Legia
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Pogon Szczecin
(Home) 24 Jul
Pogon Szczecin
0 : 1 Legia
15 Jul
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 Pogon Szczecin
11 Jul
Fenerbahce
4 : 0 Pogon Szczecin
08 Jul
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 1 Chrobry Glogow
04 Jul
Zaglebie
2 : 0 Pogon Szczecin
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Pogon Szczecin
0 : 1 Legia
08 Jul
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 1 Chrobry Glogow
23 May
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 GKS Katowice
03 May
Pogon Szczecin
3 : 0 Wisla Plock
18 Apr
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 2 Lech Poznan
Page 1 of 3
Legia
(Away) 24 Jul
Pogon Szczecin
0 : 1 Legia
18 Jul
Legia
0 : 2 Aris Limassol
18 Jul
Legia
2 : 1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
14 Jul
Legia
3 : 1 Radomiak Radom
10 Jul
Legia
1 : 0 Trencin
Page 1 of 7
24 Jul
Pogon Szczecin
0 : 1 Legia
02 Jul
Nurnberg II
2 : 2 Legia
27 Jun
Bayern II
0 : 2 Legia
17 May
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 2 Legia
10 May
Termalica Bruk-Bet
0 : 1 Legia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Radomiak Radom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Legia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Wisla Plock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Wisla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Zaglebie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Rakow Czestochowa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 16 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 17 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
