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Stadium Background

Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Juwara M.
Assist: Wojciechowski M.
11'
Sanchez J.
14'
Keramitsis D.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraklasa game between Pogon Szczecin and Wisla finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Pogon Szczecin
30%
Draws
43%
Wisla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wisla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Wisla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Wisla are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 18%
Wisla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin Wisla
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.24 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla
2:2
Oct 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla
3:3
May 2, 2024 Polish Cup
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla
1:2
Mar 18, 2022 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla
4:1
Sep 26, 2021 Ekstraklasa
Wisla vs Pogon Szczecin
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin Compare

Top Goalscorer Juwara M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wahlqvist L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Wisla Compare

Top Goalscorer Youan E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin 23 / 100
Wisla 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin Wisla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wisla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Pogon Szczecin scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Wisla has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Pogon Szczecin stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin VS Wisla
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Szczecin

(Home)
26 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1
Udinese
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2
Pogon Szczecin
13 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0
KS Wieczysta Krakow
07 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1
Wisla Plock
03 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1
Pogon Szczecin
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Wisla

(Away)
02 Oct
Piast Gliwice
3 : 4
Wisla
26 Sept
Dalin Myslenice
0 : 4
Wisla
18 Sept
Wisla
2 : 1
Slask Wroclaw
11 Sept
Wisla
2 : 0
Jagiellonia
05 Sept
Korona Kielce
1 : 1
Wisla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 GKS Katowice 9 5 0 4 20:14 15
6 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
7 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
9 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 KS Wieczysta Krakow 9 2 2 5 14:17 8
14 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
15 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
16 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
17 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
18 Rakow Czestochowa 10 1 0 9 13:25 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)