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Pogon Szczecin W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Milek K.
75' Event
Brzozowska J.
76' Event
Sarapata P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Pogon Szczecin W
28%
Draws
22%
Czarni Sosnowiec W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Pogon Szczecin W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Czarni Sosnowiec W have won more games recently than Pogon Szczecin W.
  • Model gives Pogon Szczecin W a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • Czarni Sosnowiec W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pogon Szczecin W Clean Sheet 10%
Czarni Sosnowiec W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin W Czarni Sosnowiec W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 20 22
Draws 4 2
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2.75 3
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
2:2
Apr 21, 2026 Polish Cup Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Czarni Sosnowiec W vs Pogon Szczecin W
2:1
May 17, 2025 Polish Cup Women
Czarni Sosnowiec W vs Pogon Szczecin W
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brzozowska J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rybinska Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Czarni Sosnowiec W Compare

Top Goalscorer Milek K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarapata P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin W 47 / 100
Czarni Sosnowiec W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin W Czarni Sosnowiec W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Szczecin W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pogon Szczecin W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Czarni Sosnowiec W let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin W VS Czarni Sosnowiec W
2.75 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667