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Pogon Szczecin W vs Czworka Radom W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Radochonska Z.
58' Event
Chmura A.
(Penalty)
71' Event
Malesa O.

AI Match Summary

Pogon Szczecin W in this Ekstraliga Women 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon Szczecin W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pogon Szczecin W
6%
Draws
4%
Czworka Radom W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Czworka Radom W haven't matched Pogon Szczecin W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pogon Szczecin W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ekstraliga Women 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pogon Szczecin W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Pogon Szczecin W Clean Sheet 68%
Czworka Radom W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin W Czworka Radom W
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 25 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 3.38 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.88 5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs Czworka Radom W
4:2
Oct 25, 2022 Polish Cup Women
Czworka Radom W vs Pogon Szczecin W
1:2
Oct 22, 2022 Ekstraliga Women
Czworka Radom W vs Pogon Szczecin W
3:0
Mar 24, 2018 Ekstraliga Women
Czworka Radom W vs Pogon Szczecin W
2:3
Sep 9, 2017 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs Czworka Radom W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Radochonska Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ratajczyk R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Czworka Radom W Compare

Top Goalscorer Malesa O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin W 95 / 100
Czworka Radom W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin W Czworka Radom W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Szczecin W scored in 86% of their last 35 games.

Czworka Radom W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pogon Szczecin W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin W VS Czworka Radom W
3.38 Goals Scored 0.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Szczecin W

(Home)
17 Jul
RB Leipzig W
9 : 0
Pogon Szczecin W
30 May
Pogon Szczecin W
1 : 0
Slask Wroclaw W
23 May
Leczna W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
02 May
Pogon Szczecin W
2 : 2
Czarni Sosnowiec W
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Czworka Radom W

(Away)
23 Jul
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
2 : 0
Czworka Radom W
17 Jul
UJ Krakow W
8 : 0
Czworka Radom W
14 Feb
Czworka Radom W
1 : 5
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
16 Nov
Legia II W
2 : 3
Czworka Radom W
18 Oct
KKP Bydgoszcz W
0 : 1
Czworka Radom W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GKS Katowice W22181348:1755
2Leczna W22164279:3052
3UKS SMS Lodz W22171462:2452
4UJ Krakow W22124641:3140
5Pogon Szczecin W22121942:3037
6Slask Wroclaw W221021046:3832
7Czarni Sosnowiec W2286836:2930
8AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22661025:3224
9Pogon Tczew W22531429:5618
10Medyk Konin W22431525:4915
11KKP Bydgoszcz W22341519:5413
12Czworka Radom W22311819:8110
Promotion - Champions League Women 2023/2024 (Qualification)