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Pogon Tczew W vs Medyk Konin W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ziemba P.
12' Event
Nowak K.
15'
Mierzejewska M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ekstraliga Women 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pogon Tczew W
6%
Draws
90%
Medyk Konin W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Medyk Konin W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Medyk Konin W lately — more wins on the board than Pogon Tczew W.
  • Medyk Konin W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pogon Tczew W Clean Sheet 10%
Medyk Konin W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Tczew W Medyk Konin W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 0.88 3.67
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 3.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Medyk Konin W
3:3
Nov 18, 2023 Ekstraliga Women
Medyk Konin W vs Pogon Tczew W
1:2
Apr 15, 2023 Ekstraliga Women
Medyk Konin W vs Pogon Tczew W
1:2
Sep 24, 2022 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Medyk Konin W
4:2
Nov 3, 2021 Polish Cup Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Medyk Konin W
0:10

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Tczew W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowak K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalun M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Medyk Konin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ziemba P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aristodimou E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.34
Avg xA / game 2.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Tczew W 10 / 100
Medyk Konin W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Tczew W Medyk Konin W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MED Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Medyk Konin W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Pogon Tczew W found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Pogon Tczew W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Tczew W VS Medyk Konin W
0.88 Goals Scored 3.67
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Tczew W

(Home)
30 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 5
Leczna W
24 May
Pogon Tczew W
2 : 2
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
16 May
Slask Wroclaw W
0 : 2
Pogon Tczew W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
03 May
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
5 : 1
Pogon Tczew W
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Medyk Konin W

(Away)
18 Feb
Lech-UAM Poznan III W
2 : 0
Medyk Konin W
16 Nov
Slask Wroclaw II W
0 : 2
Medyk Konin W
18 Oct
Unia Lublin II W
0 : 9
Medyk Konin W
02 Feb
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
0 : 0
Medyk Konin W
16 Oct
Medyk Konin W
3 : 4
Skra Czestochowa W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pogon Szczecin W22163363:1651
2GKS Katowice W22163350:1751
3Czarni Sosnowiec W22144455:2246
4UKS SMS Lodz W22135447:1944
5AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22112930:2935
6Leczna W2294934:2931
7Slask Wroclaw W2294941:3631
8Pogon Tczew W22641229:6522
9Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22541323:4119
10Stomilanki Olsztyn W22511615:5416
11UJ Krakow W22361326:4615
12Medyk Konin W22421624:6314
Promotion - Champions League Women 2024/2025 (Qualification)