Sport Picks
Pogradeci vs Beselidhja Lezha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Pogradeci host Beselidhja Lezha in the Kategoria e Parë. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Pogradeci at 2 goals for, 0.94 against; Beselidhja Lezha at 0.76 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Pogradeci have won 2 to Beselidhja Lezha's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 5, 2022, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 0.88, favoring Pogradeci. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Pogradeci have won more games recently than Beselidhja Lezha.
- 31% — that's where the model lands on Pogradeci taking it.
- Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogradeci | Beselidhja Lezha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogradeci went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Pogradeci scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Beselidhja Lezha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Pogradeci
(Home)Beselidhja Lezha
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kukesi | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 2 | Iliria Kruja | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 15 |
| 3 | Besa Kavaje | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Pogradeci | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 5 | Flamurtari | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Bylis | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Beselidhja Lezha | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Kastrioti | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 10 | Sopoti Librazhd | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:17 | 7 |
| 11 | Burreli | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 12 | KF Oriku | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3:16 | 2 |