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Pogradeci vs Beselidhja Lezha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pogradeci host Beselidhja Lezha in the Kategoria e Parë. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Pogradeci at 2 goals for, 0.94 against; Beselidhja Lezha at 0.76 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Pogradeci have won 2 to Beselidhja Lezha's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 5, 2022, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 0.88, favoring Pogradeci. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pogradeci
35%
Draws
34%
Beselidhja Lezha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Pogradeci have won more games recently than Beselidhja Lezha.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Pogradeci taking it.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 20%
Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogradeci Beselidhja Lezha
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 6
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Beselidhja Lezha
1:0
Sep 25, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Pogradeci
2:2
Jul 29, 2020 Abissnet Superiore
Beselidhja Lezha vs Pogradeci
3:2
Feb 16, 2013 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Beselidhja Lezha
1:0
Sep 8, 2012 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Pogradeci
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogradeci 49 / 100
Beselidhja Lezha 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogradeci Beselidhja Lezha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogradeci Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogradeci went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Pogradeci scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Beselidhja Lezha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Pogradeci VS Beselidhja Lezha
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogradeci

(Home)
28 Oct
Pogradeci
0 : 0
KF Oriku
23 Oct
Bylis
2 : 2
Pogradeci
17 Oct
Pogradeci
2 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
11 Oct
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 2
Pogradeci
07 Oct
Pogradeci
7 : 0
Delvina
Page 1 of 7

Beselidhja Lezha

(Away)
28 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
5 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
23 Oct
Flamurtari
1 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
17 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
4 : 1
Kastrioti
11 Oct
Burreli
0 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
06 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Sopoti Librazhd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kukesi 8 5 0 3 11:8 15
2 Iliria Kruja 8 4 3 1 9:6 15
3 Besa Kavaje 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
4 Pogradeci 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
5 Flamurtari 8 3 3 2 12:8 12
6 Bylis 8 2 6 0 7:5 12
7 Beselidhja Lezha 8 3 2 3 12:9 11
8 Korabi Peshkopi 8 3 2 3 5:9 11
9 Kastrioti 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
10 Sopoti Librazhd 8 1 4 3 10:17 7
11 Burreli 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
12 KF Oriku 8 0 2 6 3:16 2
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)