Sport Picks
Pogradeci vs Iliria Kruja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Albania
Kategoria e Parë 
AI Match Summary
Pogradeci host Iliria Kruja in the Kategoria e Parë. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Pogradeci have averaged 2.03 scored and 0.91 conceded recently, against Iliria Kruja's 1.03 scored and 1.06 conceded. Head-to-head, Pogradeci have won 1 to Iliria Kruja's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.50 - 0.94) back Pogradeci to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Pogradeci come out ahead of Iliria Kruja on wins alone.
- Model gives Pogradeci a 30% chance of winning this.
- Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogradeci | Iliria Kruja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 31 |
| Wins | 19 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.91 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Pogradeci remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Pogradeci found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).
Iliria Kruja let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 0.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Pogradeci
(Home)Iliria Kruja
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kukesi | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 2 | Iliria Kruja | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 15 |
| 3 | Besa Kavaje | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Pogradeci | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 5 | Flamurtari | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Bylis | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Beselidhja Lezha | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Kastrioti | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 10 | Sopoti Librazhd | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:17 | 7 |
| 11 | Burreli | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 12 | KF Oriku | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3:16 | 2 |
