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Pogradeci vs Pelister - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Pogradeci and Pelister finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogradeci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Pogradeci
20%
Draws
46%
Pelister
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pelister

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Pelister haven't matched Pogradeci's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 19%
Pelister Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogradeci Pelister
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.06 1.54
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Pogradeci vs Pelister
4:2
Jan 28, 2024 Club Friendly
Pelister vs Pogradeci
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogradeci 32 / 100
Pelister 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogradeci Pelister

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Pogradeci went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pogradeci scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Pelister let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogradeci VS Pelister
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogradeci

(Home)
07 Oct
Pogradeci
7 : 0
Delvina
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
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Pelister

(Away)
19 Sept
Pelister
1 : 0
Ohrid
13 Sept
Shkupi
0 : 4
Pelister
06 Sept
Pelister
2 : 0
Rabotnicki
02 Sept
Studenicani
1 : 6
Pelister
29 Aug
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Pelister
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