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Stadium Background

Pogradeci vs Shkumbini Peqin

Albania Albania

First Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Topllari E.
23' Event
Vieira F.
35' Event
Kasa A.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2021/2022 game between Pogradeci and Shkumbini Peqin finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogradeci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pogradeci
6%
Draws
4%
Shkumbini Peqin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogradeci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shkumbini Peqin haven't matched Pogradeci's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pogradeci a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 20%
Shkumbini Peqin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogradeci Shkumbini Peqin
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 2
Draws 7 2
Losses 5 26
Goals Scored 2.5 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Shkumbini Peqin
6:0
Dec 4, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Shkumbini Peqin vs Pogradeci
1:1
Feb 24, 2018 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Shkumbini Peqin
3:0
Nov 18, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Shkumbini Peqin vs Pogradeci
0:1
Sep 27, 2017 Albanian Cup
Pogradeci vs Shkumbini Peqin
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogradeci Compare

Top Goalscorer Topllari E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kasa A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Shkumbini Peqin Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogradeci 85 / 100
Shkumbini Peqin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogradeci Shkumbini Peqin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shkumbini Peqin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Shkumbini Peqin's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Pogradeci's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Pogradeci VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bylis30223551:1869
2Erzeni Shijak30214557:1867
3Korabi Peshkopi30178535:2259
4Apolonia Fier301631144:2551
5Terbuni Puka301211721:1647
6Tomori Berat301281045:3144
7Lushnja301012831:2742
8Burreli301011930:2441
9Besa Kavaje301241436:4040
10Beselidhja Lezha301231545:5439
11Pogradeci301081232:3738
12Turbina Cerrik301141531:4437
13Butrinti Sarande30971432:3634
14Maliqi30651932:6223
15Vora30561932:5421
16Shkumbini Peqin30532230:7618