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Pogradeci vs Skenderbeu Korca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Pogradeci and Skenderbeu Korca finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skenderbeu Korca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pogradeci
35%
Draws
34%
Skenderbeu Korca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Pogradeci's 2.07 goals per match outpaces what Skenderbeu Korca have produced (1.38).
  • Model gives Pogradeci a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 20%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogradeci Skenderbeu Korca
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.07 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Pogradeci vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Skenderbeu Korca
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Pogradeci
1:2
Sep 19, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:1
Nov 12, 2020 Albanian Cup
Skenderbeu Korca vs Pogradeci
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogradeci 67 / 100
Skenderbeu Korca 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogradeci Skenderbeu Korca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogradeci Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogradeci has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pogradeci scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Skenderbeu Korca has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pogradeci VS Skenderbeu Korca
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogradeci

(Home)
23 Oct
Bylis
2 : 2
Pogradeci
17 Oct
Pogradeci
2 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
11 Oct
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 2
Pogradeci
07 Oct
Pogradeci
7 : 0
Delvina
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
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Skenderbeu Korca

(Away)
24 Oct
Partizani
0 : 2
Skenderbeu Korca
17 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 1
AF Elbasani
10 Oct
Teuta
2 : 0
Skenderbeu Korca
06 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 1
Kucove
19 Sept
Vora
1 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
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