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Pohang vs Gwangju FC

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Pohang Steel Yard, Pohang
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Lee Ho-Jae
46'
Sub
Nishiya K. In: Kim Dong-Jin
Out: Nishiya K.
46'
Sub
Kim Yong-Hak In: da Rocha Junior J.
Out: Kim Yong-Hak

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Pohang and Gwangju FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pohang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pohang
33%
Draws
27%
Gwangju FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pohang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Pohang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pohang a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Pohang here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Pohang Clean Sheet 68%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pohang Gwangju FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.5 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Pohang
0:3
Apr 22, 2026 K League 1
Pohang vs Gwangju FC
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Gwangju FC
1:0
May 18, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Gwangju FC
0:1
Mar 22, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Pohang
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pohang Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Ho-Jae
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gwangju FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pohang 50 / 100
Gwangju FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pohang Gwangju FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pohang found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Gwangju FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Pohang has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pohang VS Gwangju FC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pohang

(Home)
22 Jul
Seoul
3 : 1
Pohang
18 Jul
Jeju SK
2 : 1
Pohang
11 Jul
Gwangju FC
0 : 3
Pohang
04 Jul
Anyang
2 : 3
Pohang
17 May
Bucheon FC 1995
2 : 0
Pohang
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Gwangju FC

(Away)
22 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
19 Jul
Anyang
1 : 1
Gwangju FC
11 Jul
Gwangju FC
0 : 3
Pohang
05 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Ulsan Hyundai
16 May
Incheon
4 : 0
Gwangju FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul19133334:1442
2Gangwon1988324:1232
3Jeonbuk1986525:1630
4Ulsan Hyundai1984727:2828
5Pohang1984720:1928
6Anyang1969426:2227
7Incheon1983824:2027
8Jeju SK1966717:1924
9Daejeon1948721:2020
10Bucheon FC 19951947817:2419
11Gimcheon Sangmu19211618:2617
12Gwangju FC19171110:4310
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)