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Pohja-Tallinna vs Keila JK

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pohja-Tallinna in this Esiliiga B 2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pohja-Tallinna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Pohja-Tallinna
11%
Draws
80%
Keila JK
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Keila JK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Keila JK have won more games recently than Pohja-Tallinna.
  • Keila JK are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Keila JK have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Pohja-Tallinna Clean Sheet 20%
Keila JK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pohja-Tallinna Keila JK
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2019 Esiliiga B
Keila JK vs Pohja-Tallinna
7:1
Aug 2, 2019 Esiliiga B
Pohja-Tallinna vs Keila JK
3:1
May 24, 2019 Esiliiga B
Keila JK vs Pohja-Tallinna
2:1
Apr 4, 2019 Esiliiga B
Pohja-Tallinna vs Keila JK
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pohja-Tallinna 12 / 100
Keila JK 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pohja-Tallinna Keila JK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keila JK let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Pohja-Tallinna found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Pohja-Tallinna remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pohja-Tallinna VS Keila JK
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Pohja-Tallinna

(Home)
22 Jun
Pohja-Tallinna
2 : 4
Rumori Calcio
29 Jul
Vastseliina Tannem
:
Pohja-Tallinna
14 Oct
Eston Villa
2 : 1
Pohja-Tallinna
16 Sept
Pohja-Tallinna
4 : 0
Jarva-Jaani
29 Jul
Pohja-Tallinna
4 : 2
Jogeva Wolves
Page 1 of 6

Keila JK

(Away)
22 Jul
TalTech JK
0 : 6
Keila JK
19 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
9 : 0
Keila JK
06 Aug
Jarva-Jaani
1 : 4
Keila JK
12 Jun
Keila JK
5 : 2
Kallaste United
27 Jul
Flora Tallinn U21
2 : 0
Keila JK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nomme Utd362745118:3885
2Vandra Vaprus362151097:7168
3Parnu361951282:5362
4Kalju U21361941379:5061
5Viimsi JK361641675:6852
6Keila JK361441867:8746
7Tabasalu361341977:7943
8Paide Linnameeskond U21361161961:8739
9Voru Helios361042248:10134
10Pohja-Tallinna36922553:12329
Promotion - Esiliiga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2019 (Relegation)