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Pohja-Tallinna vs Voru Helios

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pohja-Tallinna play Voru Helios in the Esiliiga B 2019. Pohja-Tallinna are favorites here. Recently, Pohja-Tallinna averaged 2.17 goals scored and 3.87 conceded. Voru Helios averaged 1.76 goals scored and 2.39 conceded. In past meetings, Pohja-Tallinna won 2, Voru Helios won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 10, 2019 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Pohja-Tallinna and 1.00 for Voru Helios. This points to a Pohja-Tallinna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Pohja-Tallinna
25%
Draws
15%
Voru Helios
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Pohja-Tallinna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Pohja-Tallinna picked up more points recently compared to Voru Helios.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Pohja-Tallinna Clean Sheet 23%
Voru Helios Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pohja-Tallinna Voru Helios
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 2.17 1.76
Goals Conceded 3.87 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2019 Esiliiga B
Pohja-Tallinna vs Voru Helios
5:2
Jul 20, 2019 Esiliiga B
Voru Helios vs Pohja-Tallinna
1:1
Jun 15, 2019 Esiliiga B
Voru Helios vs Pohja-Tallinna
1:6
Apr 14, 2019 Esiliiga B
Pohja-Tallinna vs Voru Helios
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pohja-Tallinna 59 / 100
Voru Helios 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pohja-Tallinna Voru Helios

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pohja-Tallinna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Pohja-Tallinna & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pohja-Tallinna attacking → ← attacking Voru Helios

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pohja-Tallinna scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Voru Helios let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Pohja-Tallinna went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Voru Helios lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 36
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nomme Utd362745118:3885
2Vandra Vaprus362151097:7168
3Parnu361951282:5362
4Kalju U21361941379:5061
5Viimsi JK361641675:6852
6Keila JK361441867:8746
7Tabasalu361341977:7943
8Paide Linnameeskond U21361161961:8739
9Voru Helios361042248:10134
10Pohja-Tallinna36922553:12329