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Poland U17 W vs Spain U17 W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women 2026 Inver Park, Larne
Poland U17 W Logo

Poland U17 W

1 - 4
FT
Spain U17 W Logo

Spain U17 W

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ferrera C.
Assist: Chacon C.
24' Event
Valladares M.
Assist: Fernandez I.
39' Event
Ohlander C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Spain U17 W in this Euro U17 Women 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Poland U17 W
15%
Draws
46%
Spain U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Spain U17 W have won more games recently than Poland U17 W.
  • Model gives Spain U17 W a 46% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 Women 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spain U17 W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Poland U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U17 W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poland U17 W Spain U17 W
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 14 25
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.97 2.67
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Euro U17 Women
Poland U17 W vs Spain U17 W
1:4
May 8, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Poland U17 W
3:1
May 9, 2024 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Poland U17 W
1:0
Sep 25, 2022 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Poland U17 W
3:0
Mar 29, 2019 Euro U17 Women
Poland U17 W vs Spain U17 W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Burzan Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Spain U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrera C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valladares M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland U17 W 10 / 100
Spain U17 W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poland U17 W Spain U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Poland U17 W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Spain U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 36 matches.

Solid form: Poland U17 W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Poland U17 W VS Spain U17 W
1.63 Goals Scored 3.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland U17 W

(Home)
15 Sept
Austria U17 W
2 : 0
Poland U17 W
12 Sept
Austria U17 W
3 : 2
Poland U17 W
14 May
England U17 W
0 : 2
Poland U17 W
11 May
Poland U17 W
1 : 4
Spain U17 W
08 May
Finland U17 W
0 : 1
Poland U17 W
Page 1 of 6

Spain U17 W

(Away)
14 May
Germany U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
11 May
Poland U17 W
1 : 4
Spain U17 W
08 May
France U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
05 May
Spain U17 W
4 : 0
Finland U17 W
07 Mar
Portugal U17 W
0 : 0
Spain U17 W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U17 W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Norway U17 W 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 England U17 W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
4 Northern Ireland U17 W 3 1 0 2 1:5 3
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Spain U17 W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
3 Poland U17 W 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Finland U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (World Cup - Promotion)