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Poland U18 vs South Korea U18

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Poland U18 play South Korea U18 in the Friendly International 2025. Poland U18 are favorites here. Recently, Poland U18 averaged 2.43 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. South Korea U18 averaged 1.74 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Poland U18 won 2, South Korea U18 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 9, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.49 for Poland U18 and 1.00 for South Korea U18. This points to a Poland U18 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Poland U18
16%
Draws
27%
South Korea U18
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Poland U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Poland U18 picked up more points recently compared to South Korea U18.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.49 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Poland U18 Clean Sheet 23%
South Korea U18 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poland U18 South Korea U18
Matches Played 28 23
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.43 1.74
Goals Conceded 0.89 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 Friendly International
Poland U18 vs South Korea U18
1:0
Sep 10, 2024 Friendly International
Poland U18 vs South Korea U18
7:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Skorb F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

South Korea U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland U18 56 / 100
South Korea U18 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poland U18 South Korea U18

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poland U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Poland U18 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Poland U18 attacking → ← attacking South Korea U18

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poland U18 scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

South Korea U18 let in goals in 74% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Poland U18 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

South Korea U18 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 30
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.60