Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Poland U19 vs Italy U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Leandri M.
23'
Ede B.
25'
Sub
Zbrog J. In: Nowogonski K.
Out: Zbrog J.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 2026 game between Poland U19 and Italy U19 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Poland U19
20%
Draws
70%
Italy U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Italy U19's 1.69 goals per match outpaces what Poland U19 have produced (1.67).
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Italy U19 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Poland U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poland U19 Italy U19
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 3 9
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.67 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Poland U19
1:1
Nov 18, 2025 Euro U19
Poland U19 vs Italy U19
0:1
Jul 9, 2023 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Poland U19
1:1
Sep 27, 2022 Euro U19
Poland U19 vs Italy U19
0:1
Mar 24, 2018 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Poland U19
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Italy U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Idele J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland U19 23 / 100
Italy U19 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poland U19 Italy U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Poland U19 scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Italy U19 conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Poland U19 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Poland U19 VS Italy U19
0.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland U19

(Home)
31 Mar
Scotland U19
3 : 0
Poland U19
31 Mar
Serbia U19
1 : 0
Poland U19
28 Mar
England U19
1 : 0
Poland U19
28 Mar
Italy U19
1 : 1
Poland U19
25 Mar
Poland U19
0 : 1
Portugal U19
Page 1 of 6

Italy U19

(Away)
08 Jul
Denmark U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
05 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
02 Jul
Croatia U19
0 : 0
Italy U19
29 Jun
Italy U19
2 : 0
Serbia U19
31 Mar
Ireland U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U19 3 3 0 0 13:3 9
2 Kazakhstan U19 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Ireland U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Cyprus U19 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U19 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Hungary U19 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Bulgaria U19 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Faroe Islands U19 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turkey U19 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Greece U19 3 2 0 1 11:2 6
3 Belarus U19 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Liechtenstein U19 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria U19 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Slovenia U19 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Israel U19 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 Luxembourg U19 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U19 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Slovakia U19 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Montenegro U19 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 Albania U19 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U19 3 3 0 0 14:1 9
2 Serbia U19 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Georgia U19 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Gibraltar U19 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U19 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Finland U19 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Iceland U19 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Andorra U19 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U19 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Latvia U19 3 1 1 1 4:10 4
3 Lithuania U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Scotland U19 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U19 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
2 Poland U19 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Moldova U19 3 1 0 2 2:10 3
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U19 3 2 0 1 13:1 6
2 Sweden U19 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Switzerland U19 3 2 0 1 4:7 6
4 San Marino U19 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U19 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
2 Belgium U19 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 North Macedonia U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Estonia U19 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U19 3 3 0 0 14:1 9
2 Norway U19 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Kosovo U19 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
4 Armenia U19 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic U19 3 2 1 0 12:3 7
2 Northern Ireland U19 3 2 0 1 2:4 6
3 Azerbaijan U19 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Malta U19 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams