Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Poland U21 vs Estonia U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola, Stalowa Wola
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Rakoczy M.
Assist: Zalewski N.
22' Event
Zalewski N.
44' Event
Szymczak F.
Assist: Szmyt K.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Poland U21 and Estonia U21 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Poland U21
6%
Draws
4%
Estonia U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Poland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Poland U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Poland U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Poland U21 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Poland U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Estonia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poland U21 Estonia U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 2.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2023 Euro U21
Poland U21 vs Estonia U21
5:0
Sep 12, 2023 Euro U21
Estonia U21 vs Poland U21
0:1
Sep 4, 2020 Euro U21
Estonia U21 vs Poland U21
0:6
Sep 10, 2019 Euro U21
Poland U21 vs Estonia U21
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Szymczak F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rakoczy M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Estonia U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland U21 95 / 100
Estonia U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poland U21 Estonia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poland U21 scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Estonia U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Poland U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Poland U21 VS Estonia U21
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
27 Mar
Poland U21
4 : 1
Armenia U21
18 Nov
North Macedonia U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1
Italy U21
14 Oct
Sweden U21
0 : 6
Poland U21
Page 1 of 7

Estonia U21

(Away)
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2
Lithuania U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Switzerland U21
2 : 1
Estonia U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2
Estonia U21
13 Oct
France U21
6 : 1
Estonia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U211064027:422
2Norway U211061328:1119
3Ireland U211054124:1219
4Turkey U211041521:1513
5Latvia U211032510:1811
6San Marino U211000101:510
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U211091028:528
2Belgium U211061313:619
3Scotland U211051419:1116
4Hungary U211051412:816
5Kazakhstan U211030713:249
6Malta U211000104:350
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands U2110100032:330
2Georgia U211061314:1019
3Sweden U211052325:1017
4North Macedonia U21104068:1512
5Moldova U21102177:207
6Gibraltar U21101093:313
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U211082035:1026
2Poland U211071224:1022
3Bulgaria U211043317:1215
4Kosovo U211033410:1712
5Estonia U21102177:317
6Israel U21101095:183
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Romania U211071223:1022
2Finland U211062221:820
3Switzerland U211053221:1218
4Albania U211051412:1716
5Montenegro U21102178:197
6Armenia U21100282:212
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U211081141:625
2Ukraine U211080220:724
3Serbia U211051413:1816
4Northern Ireland U211032510:1011
5Luxembourg U21102266:238
6Azerbaijan U21101094:303
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U211090133:627
2Croatia U211071220:1422
3Greece U211052316:1017
4Faroe Islands U211031611:2410
5Belarus U21101366:206
6Andorra U21100374:163
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovenia U21852113:717
2France U21851222:616
3Austria U21843112:615
4Cyprus U2181257:235
5Bosnia & Herzegovina U2181075:173
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Denmark U21852118:817
2Czech Republic U21842213:1114
3Wales U21842213:1114
4Iceland U2183059:149
5Lithuania U2181077:163
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)