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Poland U21 vs Iceland U21

World World

Friendly International 2024 Pinatar Arena, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Peda P.
15' Event
Andresson B.
42'
Andresson B.

AI Match Summary

Iceland U21 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iceland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Poland U21
6%
Draws
4%
Iceland U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Poland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Poland U21 have won more games recently than Iceland U21.
  • Win probability leans Poland U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Poland U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Iceland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poland U21 Iceland U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2024 Friendly International
Poland U21 vs Iceland U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Iceland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andresson B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikaelsson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland U21 84 / 100
Iceland U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poland U21 Iceland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Poland U21 scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Poland U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Iceland U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Poland U21 VS Iceland U21
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
27 Mar
Poland U21
4 : 1
Armenia U21
18 Nov
North Macedonia U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1
Italy U21
14 Oct
Sweden U21
0 : 6
Poland U21
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Iceland U21

(Away)
30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1
Iceland U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2
Estonia U21
13 Nov
Luxembourg U21
1 : 3
Iceland U21
14 Oct
Iceland U21
2 : 1
Luxembourg U21
10 Oct
Switzerland U21
0 : 0
Iceland U21
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