Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Poland U21 vs North Macedonia U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego, Kraków
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Trajkov D.
22' Event
Zendelovski A.
Assist: Pienko T.
Own Goal
33'
Rozga F.

AI Match Summary

Poland U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Poland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Poland U21
15%
Draws
5%
North Macedonia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Poland U21 lately — more wins on the board than North Macedonia U21.
  • Poland U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Poland U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Poland U21 Clean Sheet 68%
North Macedonia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poland U21 North Macedonia U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 2.13 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Euro U21
North Macedonia U21 vs Poland U21
0:1
Sep 5, 2025 Euro U21
Poland U21 vs North Macedonia U21
3:0
Jun 1, 2024 Friendly International
Poland U21 vs North Macedonia U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Regula M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pietuszewski O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

North Macedonia U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland U21 95 / 100
North Macedonia U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poland U21 North Macedonia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poland U21's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Poland U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: North Macedonia U21 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Poland U21 VS North Macedonia U21
2.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
27 Mar
Poland U21
4 : 1
Armenia U21
18 Nov
North Macedonia U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1
Italy U21
14 Oct
Sweden U21
0 : 6
Poland U21
Page 1 of 6

North Macedonia U21

(Away)
26 Aug
North Macedonia U21
1 : 5
Morocco U20
24 Aug
Turkey U20
3 : 0
North Macedonia U21
22 Aug
Tunisia U21
0 : 0
North Macedonia U21
08 Jun
North Macedonia U21
0 : 2
USA U20
30 May
Bulgaria U21
1 : 0
North Macedonia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 7 7 0 0 26:2 21
2 Finland U21 7 5 1 1 26:2 16
3 Romania U21 7 4 1 2 8:4 13
4 Kosovo U21 7 2 2 3 12:6 8
5 Cyprus U21 7 1 0 6 5:24 3
6 San Marino U21 7 0 0 7 0:39 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 7 6 1 0 28:0 19
2 Czech Republic U21 7 4 2 1 15:3 14
3 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
4 Bulgaria U21 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 7 1 3 3 5:18 6
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 6 5 1 0 21:4 16
2 Switzerland U21 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Iceland U21 7 3 2 2 14:9 11
4 Faroe Islands U21 7 3 0 4 6:13 9
5 Luxembourg U21 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
6 Estonia U21 7 0 2 5 8:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 7 6 1 0 18:2 19
2 Slovakia U21 7 5 1 1 15:10 16
3 Ireland U21 7 3 2 2 7:10 11
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 7 1 1 5 4:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 7 6 0 1 22:4 18
2 Greece U21 7 6 0 1 21:4 18
3 Northern Ireland U21 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
4 Georgia U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
5 Latvia U21 7 1 2 4 4:12 5
6 Malta U21 7 0 0 7 1:28 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Turkey U21 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Ukraine U21 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
4 Hungary U21 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 5 3 1 1 11:2 10
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 6 1 1 4 7:9 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)