Sport Picks
Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
UEFA Nations League PGE Narodowy, Warsaw 
Match Events
19'
19'
Kiwior J.
24'
24'
Sub
Kaminski J. In: Zalewski N.
Out: Kaminski J.
32'
32'
Alajbegovic K.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bosnia & Herzegovina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Poland lately — more wins on the board than Bosnia & Herzegovina.
- Bosnia & Herzegovina are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Poland Clean Sheet 16%
Bosnia & Herzegovina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Poland | Bosnia & Herzegovina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 5, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland
1:0
Sep 25, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
0:0
Oct 14, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
3:0
Sep 7, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland
1:2
Dec 16, 2011 Friendly International
Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Poland 23 / 100
Bosnia & Herzegovina 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Poland Bosnia & Herzegovina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bosnia & Herzegovina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Poland's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Bosnia & Herzegovina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Poland went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Poland VS Bosnia & Herzegovina
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Poland
(Home) 05 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 0 Poland
02 Oct
Poland
6 : 0 Romania
28 Sept
Sweden
3 : 1 Poland
25 Sept
Poland
0 : 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
03 Jun
Poland
2 : 2 Nigeria
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Poland
6 : 0 Romania
25 Sept
Poland
0 : 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
03 Jun
Poland
2 : 2 Nigeria
31 May
Poland
0 : 2 Ukraine
26 Mar
Poland
2 : 1 Albania
Page 1 of 4
Bosnia & Herzegovina
(Away) 05 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 0 Poland
02 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 1 Sweden
28 Sept
Romania
2 : 4 Bosnia & Herzegovina
25 Sept
Poland
0 : 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Romania
2 : 4 Bosnia & Herzegovina
25 Sept
Poland
0 : 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
18 Jun
Switzerland
4 : 1 Bosnia & Herzegovina
12 Jun
Canada
1 : 1 Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
