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Stadium Background

Poland vs Turkey

World World

Friendly International 2024 PGE Narodowy, Warsaw
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Swiderski K.
Assist: Lewandowski R.
19'
Sub
Swiderski K. In: Piatek K.
Out: Swiderski K.
32'
Sub
Lewandowski R. In: Urbanski K.
Out: Lewandowski R.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Poland and Turkey finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Poland
15%
Draws
48%
Turkey
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turkey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Turkey come out ahead of Poland on wins alone.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Turkey taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Poland have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Poland Clean Sheet 10%
Turkey Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poland Turkey
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.67 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2024 Friendly International
Poland vs Turkey
2:1
Oct 26, 1993 World Championship
Turkey vs Poland
2:1
Sep 22, 1992 World Championship
Poland vs Turkey
1:0
Apr 17, 1991 Euro
Poland vs Turkey
3:0
Nov 14, 1990 Euro
Turkey vs Poland
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland Compare

Top Goalscorer Swiderski K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zalewski N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Turkey Compare

Top Goalscorer Yilmaz B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland 26 / 100
Turkey 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poland Turkey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turkey Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poland scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Turkey let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Poland has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Poland VS Turkey
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland

(Home)
03 Jun
Poland
2 : 2
Nigeria
31 May
Poland
0 : 2
Ukraine
31 Mar
Sweden
3 : 2
Poland
26 Mar
Poland
2 : 1
Albania
17 Nov
Malta
2 : 3
Poland
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Turkey

(Away)
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2
USA
20 Jun
Turkey
0 : 1
Paraguay
14 Jun
Australia
2 : 0
Turkey
06 Jun
Venezuela
1 : 2
Turkey
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0
North Macedonia
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