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Poland W vs Sweden W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro Women Stadion Allmend, Luzern
Poland W Logo

Poland W

0 - 3
FT
Sweden W Logo

Sweden W

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Blackstenius S.
Assist: Asllani K.
30'
Asllani K.
46'
Sub
Grabowska D. In: Kamczyk E.
Out: Grabowska D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Euro Women game between Poland W and Sweden W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sweden W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Poland W
20%
Draws
80%
Sweden W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sweden W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sweden W come out ahead of Poland W on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Sweden W taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sweden W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Poland W Clean Sheet 18%
Sweden W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poland W Sweden W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.72 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2025 Euro Women
Poland W vs Sweden W
0:3
Apr 13, 2021 Friendly International Women
Poland W vs Sweden W
2:4
Jun 2, 2016 Euro Women
Poland W vs Sweden W
0:4
Sep 22, 2015 Euro Women
Sweden W vs Poland W
3:0
Aug 21, 2014 World Cup Women
Poland W vs Sweden W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sweden W Compare

Top Goalscorer Blackstenius S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asllani K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland W 15 / 100
Sweden W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poland W Sweden W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sweden W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Poland W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Sweden W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Sweden W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Poland W VS Sweden W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland W

(Home)
09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1
Poland W
05 Jun
Poland W
0 : 2
France W
18 Apr
Ireland W
1 : 0
Poland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3
Ireland W
07 Mar
France W
4 : 1
Poland W
Page 1 of 6

Sweden W

(Away)
09 Jun
Sweden W
2 : 2
Italy W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 0
Serbia W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Serbia W
0 : 0
Sweden W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
2 Switzerland W 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Finland W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Iceland W 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 3 3 0 0 14:3 9
2 Italy W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Belgium W 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Portugal W 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Germany W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Poland W 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Denmark W 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 3 3 0 0 11:4 9
2 England W 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Netherlands W 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Wales W 3 0 0 3 2:13 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)