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Polet Ljubic vs Macva Bogatic

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2022/2023
Polet Ljubic Logo

Polet Ljubic

2 - 1
FT
Macva Bogatic Logo

Macva Bogatic

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - West 2022/2023 game between Polet Ljubic and Macva Bogatic finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polet Ljubic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Polet Ljubic
30%
Draws
64%
Macva Bogatic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Macva Bogatic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Polet Ljubic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Macva Bogatic are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - West 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Polet Ljubic Clean Sheet 19%
Macva Bogatic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polet Ljubic Macva Bogatic
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Srpska Liga - West
Polet Ljubic vs Macva Bogatic
2:1
Aug 13, 2022 Srpska Liga - West
Macva Bogatic vs Polet Ljubic
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polet Ljubic 10 / 100
Macva Bogatic 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polet Ljubic Macva Bogatic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macva Bogatic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Polet Ljubic scored in 73% of their last 40 outings.

Macva Bogatic has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Polet Ljubic has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Polet Ljubic VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Polet Ljubic

(Home)
08 Jun
Buducnost Krusik
2 : 0
Polet Ljubic
01 Jun
Polet Ljubic
0 : 1
Real Podunavci
24 May
FK Zlatibor Cajetina
5 : 0
Polet Ljubic
18 May
Polet Ljubic
1 : 2
Metalac
10 May
Omladinac Zablace
0 : 0
Polet Ljubic
Page 1 of 8

Macva Bogatic

(Away)
10 Jun
Macva Bogatic
3 : 0
Mladi Radnik
03 Jun
Buducnost Arilje
2 : 7
Macva Bogatic
27 May
Macva Bogatic
1 : 1
Radevac
21 May
OFK Mihajlovac
0 : 2
Macva Bogatic
13 May
Macva Bogatic
1 : 1
Takovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Smederevo 30 24 5 1 62:17 77
2 Borac 1926 30 24 4 2 74:24 76
3 FAP 30 16 9 5 46:26 57
4 Sloga Pozega 30 13 9 8 36:24 48
5 Polet Ljubic 30 13 6 11 47:50 45
6 Tutin 30 12 5 13 29:37 41
7 Takovo 30 9 10 11 37:39 37
8 Buducnost Krusik 30 9 10 11 27:39 37
9 OFK Mihajlovac 30 8 10 12 26:39 34
10 Mladi Radnik 30 9 6 15 39:52 33
11 Real Podunavci 30 9 6 15 29:41 33
12 Macva Bogatic 30 8 8 14 39:45 32
13 Sloga Kraljevo 30 7 10 13 29:41 31
14 Sloga 1940 30 9 4 17 39:41 31
15 Radevac 30 7 9 14 28:39 30
16 Buducnost Arilje 30 5 5 20 24:57 20
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