Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Poli Iasi vs FC ASA Tg. Mures

Romania Romania

Liga 2 2025/2026 Stadionul Emil Alexandrescu, Iaşi
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Stefanovici S.
46'
Sub
Filip R. In: Major S.
Out: Filip R.
46'
Sub
Sacara M. In: Dumitru A.
Out: Sacara M.

AI Match Summary

FC ASA Tg. Mures in this Liga 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC ASA Tg. Mures.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Poli Iasi
30%
Draws
34%
FC ASA Tg. Mures
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Poli Iasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Poli Iasi lately — more wins on the board than FC ASA Tg. Mures.
  • Win probability leans Poli Iasi's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Poli Iasi Clean Sheet 14%
FC ASA Tg. Mures Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poli Iasi FC ASA Tg. Mures
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.67 2.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Liga 2
Poli Iasi vs FC ASA Tg. Mures
0:1
Nov 10, 2025 Liga 2
FC ASA Tg. Mures vs Poli Iasi
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poli Iasi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

FC ASA Tg. Mures Compare

Top Goalscorer Rotund R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poli Iasi 35 / 100
FC ASA Tg. Mures 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poli Iasi FC ASA Tg. Mures

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poli Iasi found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

FC ASA Tg. Mures has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Poli Iasi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Poli Iasi VS FC ASA Tg. Mures
0.67 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
33% Over 1.5 75%
17% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Poli Iasi

(Home)
09 May
CSM Slatina
1 : 0
Poli Iasi
02 May
Poli Iasi
2 : 2
Gloria Bistrita
25 Apr
Poli Iasi
1 : 0
Campulung
18 Apr
Metalul Buzau
2 : 0
Poli Iasi
10 Apr
Poli Iasi
0 : 1
FC ASA Tg. Mures
Page 1 of 7

FC ASA Tg. Mures

(Away)
25 Jul
FC ASA Tg. Mures
0 : 2
Gloria Bistrita
17 Jul
FC ASA Tg. Mures
2 : 1
Metaloglobus Bucharest
14 Jul
FC ASA Tg. Mures
1 : 1
Popesti Leordeni
12 Jul
Sepsi
1 : 1
FC ASA Tg. Mures
10 Jul
Petrolul
1 : 1
FC ASA Tg. Mures
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC ASA Tg. Mures742116:751
2Metalul Buzau760116:650
3CSM Slatina752013:443
4Poli Iasi73137:641
5Gloria Bistrita722310:834
6CS Din. Bucuresti73049:1025
7Ceahlaul70254:1920
8Campulung70164:1911
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Bacau73047:1142
2Concordia742110:541
3CSM Resita72146:1040
4Afumati72148:937
5CSC Dumbravita72146:732
6Selimbar73138:930
7CSM Satu Mare742116:928
8Tunari73229:1027
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)