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Police AC vs Tollygunge Agragami

India India

Calcutta Premier Division 2024
Sat, Sep 14, 2024
3 - 0
09:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Police AC host Tollygunge Agragami in the Calcutta Premier Division 2024. Police AC are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Police AC at 1.25 goals for, 0.63 against; Tollygunge Agragami at 0 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Police AC have won 1 to Tollygunge Agragami's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 14, 2024, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.38 - 0.81) back Police AC to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Police AC
6%
Draws
4%
Tollygunge Agragami
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Police AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Police AC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Police AC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Calcutta Premier Division 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Police AC Clean Sheet 20%
Tollygunge Agragami Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police AC Tollygunge Agragami
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 3
Draws 9 3
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Calcutta Premier Division
Police AC vs Tollygunge Agragami
3:0
Jul 27, 2024 Calcutta Premier Division
Police AC vs Tollygunge Agragami
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police AC 85 / 100
Tollygunge Agragami 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police AC Tollygunge Agragami

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tollygunge Agragami conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Tollygunge Agragami's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Police AC scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Police AC VS Tollygunge Agragami
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Police AC

(Home)
23 Jul
Police AC
2 : 0
Calcutta Police
17 Jul
Kalighat SL
0 : 3
Police AC
15 Jul
Measures Club
2 : 2
Police AC
28 Aug
Police AC
5 : 0
Patha Chakra
24 Aug
Police AC
0 : 1
Calcutta Customs
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Tollygunge Agragami

(Away)
14 Sept
Police AC
3 : 0
Tollygunge Agragami
14 Sept
Army Red
3 : 0
Tollygunge Agragami
14 Sept
Kalighat Milan Sangha
3 : 0
Tollygunge Agragami
14 Sept
Wari
3 : 0
Tollygunge Agragami
14 Sept
Eastern Railway
3 : 0
Tollygunge Agragami
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